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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        15    2   17     Gk Xavier Lambert         14    2   16
Sw Ibou Sene              10    1   11     Sw Cristhian Dybala       13    2   15
Df Jeff Stewart           15    0   15     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     14    2   16
Df Edilberto Moreno       12    0   12     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    2   15
Df Robert Harrison        10    0   10     Df Jacob Beynon            8    2   10
Df Sam Wood                7    2    9     Mf Jacek Frankowski       13    2   15
Mf Erik Weber             11    0   11     Mf Marcus Teulet           8    2   10
Mf Connor Patel            8    1    9     Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      14    2   16
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    13    0   13     Fw Salem Bejaoui          14    2   16
Fw Francisco Viana         8    1    9     Fw Jorge Diaz             11    1   12
Fw Liam Cleverley          8    1    9     Fw Javier Gimenez          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 46 20 31        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 41 25 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 11 46 20 40         T O T A L S       16 15 41 25 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.29 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.46 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.04 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.21 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.59 (no red card)

Df Sam Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.62 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.44 (no red card)

Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.57 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.99 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.5 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.18 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.99 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.62 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.64 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.01 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.62 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.29 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.42 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.48 (no red card)

Fw Jorge Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.25 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.94 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.05 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.96 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.71 (no injury) 
Df Sam Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.66 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.75 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.45 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.03 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.33 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.67 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.34 (no injury) 
Fw Jorge Diaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.23 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jeff Stewart SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17  11  46  20  40
  Carlisle United          16  15  41  25  53

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 41)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16  15  41  25  53
  Chesterfield FC          17  11  46  20  40

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 7 (53 - 46); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 3 ((25 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((41 - 40) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 46.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 2
 
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