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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15     Gk Alex M'Boma             6    2    8
Sw Tommy McGree           12    2   14     Sw Jun-Seo Min             3    2    5
Df Sion Davey             11    2   13     Df Gregg Graham            9    1   10
Df Gabriel Lind           10    1   11     Df Marcel Pechet           6    2    8
Df Michaël Van der Heyden  6    2    8     Df Guy Herpoel             3    2    5
Mf Ian Tejeda             13    1   14     Mf Nazir Trabelsi         10    2   12
Mf Stefan Boniek          11    2   13     Mf Geoffrey Brakspear     10    2   12
Mf Patrice Djemba          7    2    9     Mf Gareth Smith            6    2    8
Fw Joel Zamora            12    2   14     Mf Rónald Zeledon          3    2    5
Fw Damien Sanchez         14    2   16     Fw Mattia Borghetti        9    0    9
Fw Slava Levchenko         7    2    9     Fw Clement Kenne           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 14 32 36 39        ROSTER TOTALS       8  5 23 37 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 32 38 46         T O T A L S        8  5 23 37 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.18 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.03 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.51 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.36 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.37 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.41 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.28 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.69 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.23 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.58 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.17 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.0 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.7 (no red card)

Df Gregg Graham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.31 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Gregg Graham new match skill level =  5
      Gregg Graham new match total level =  6

Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card)

Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.62 (no red card)

Mf Nazir Trabelsi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.71 (no red card)

Mf Geoffrey Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.49 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.06 (no red card)

Mf Rónald Zeledon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.63 (no red card)

Fw Mattia Borghetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.27 (no red card)

Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.37 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.0 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.58 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Michaël Van der Heyden is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Michaël Van der Heyden new match skill level =  3
      Michaël Van der Heyden new match total level =  5
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.12 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.24 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.79 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.61 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.24 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.57 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.31 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Graham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no injury) 
Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.1 (no injury) 
Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.46 (no injury) 
Mf Nazir Trabelsi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.6 (no injury) 
Mf Geoffrey Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.47 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no injury) 
Mf Rónald Zeledon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Rónald Zeledon is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Mattia Borghetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury) 
Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alex M'Boma SL 6

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nazir Trabelsi SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 13

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  14  29  38  46
  Dagenham & Redbridge     8   5  19  37  17

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 27 (46 - 19); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((38 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 4 ((29 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 78.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 68.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 61.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 5.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 64.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 23.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     8   5  19  37  17
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  14  29  38  46

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 29)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 5  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
Match Notes
A tough session. Would take a point right now
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 9:42 AM
Wow, these results are impossible to predict atm
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/09 - 8:12 AM
 
 
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