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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18     Gk Amir Hamdi             13    0   13
Sw DongHyun Young-min      6    2    8     Sw Santiago Ramos         12    2   14
Df Jason McDiarmid        10    1   11     Df Papis Sall             12    0   12
Df Federico Zanetti       10    2   12     Df Ike Isah                7    1    8
Df Jaap De wit            10    1   11     Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen       3    2    5
Mf Minki Sung-yeung       10    2   12     Mf Arona Baldé             7    2    9
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye          6    2    8     Mf Artur Zielinski         3    2    5
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        17    2   19     Fw Kwame Karikari         15    0   15
Fw Elias Mayer            11    2   13     Fw Haris Streller         11    0   11
Fw Albert Blanco           6    2    8     Fw Benvenuto Di martino    7    2    9
Fw Ji-Hun Min              6    2    8     Fw Mehdi Kounde            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  8 34 20 48        ROSTER TOTALS      13 14 25 14 40    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  9 34 20 57         T O T A L S       13 14 25 14 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.58 (no red card)

Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.37 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.29 (no red card)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.48 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.35 (no red card)

Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.97 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.45 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.21 (no red card)

Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.56 (no red card)

Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.26 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.79 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.86 (no red card)

Df Papis Sall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.64 (no red card)

Df Ike Isah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.14 (no red card)

Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.96 (no red card)

Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.89 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zielinski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.37 (no red card)

Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.12 (no red card)

Fw Haris Streller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.93 (no red card)

Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.14 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Kounde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 13.52 (no injury) 
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.04 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.84 (no injury) 
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.22 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.92 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.01 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.01 (no injury) 
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.03 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 34.8 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.13 (no injury) 
Df Papis Sall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.93 (no injury) 
Df Ike Isah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury) 
Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury) 
Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.56 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.4 (no injury) 
Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.83 (no injury) 
Fw Haris Streller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.04 (no injury) 
Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.9 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Kounde: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.19 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Amir Hamdi SL 13

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kwame Karikari SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18   9  34  20  57
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  14  25  14  40

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 32 (57 - 25); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 34.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 52 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  14  25  14  40
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18   9  34  20  57

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 6 (40 - 34); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 6  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1
 
Match Notes
HA should help, but this will be a close one.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/25 - 5:54 PM
Wow! Unexpected.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/31 - 9:56 PM
A second hat trick for Gutiérrez today.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/31 - 9:56 PM
 
 
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