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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          12   -1   11     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     15    2   17
Df Nestor Omlin           13    0   13     Df Walter McGree          10    1   11
Df Gustavo García         12    0   12     Df Waldemar Skoras        10    1   11
Df Robert Bak              6    2    8     Df Victor Bach             8    1    9
Mf Jorge Perez            13    0   13     Df Keita Hattori           6    2    8
Mf Oscar Bremer           10    2   12     Df Meliton Martinez        5    2    7
Mf Khaled Balhadj          8    0    8     Df Shoichi Morita          3    2    5
Mf Faustino Verón          6    2    8     Mf Breno Freda            11    0   11
Mf Daniel Kelly            6    2    8     Mf Seth Sibley             6    2    8
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         13    0   13     Fw Edgar Jimenez          13    1   14
Fw Farzan Vestergaard      6    2    8     Fw Claudio Prado           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 33 49 21        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 51 19 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  6  1  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 33 58 21         T O T A L S       17  0 57 21 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.05 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.73 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.49 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.58 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.66 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.35 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.36 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.75 (no second yellow)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.63 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.13 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.87 (no red card)

Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.48 (no red card)

Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.93 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.15 (no red card)

Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.54 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.18 (no second yellow)

Mf Breno Freda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.22 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.99 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Seth Sibley new match skill level =  3
      Seth Sibley new match total level =  5

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.54 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 4.76 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.69 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.12 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.9 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.71 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.8 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.52 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.14 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Faustino Verón is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Faustino Verón new match skill level =  3
      Faustino Verón new match total level =  5
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.29 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.33 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 73.81 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.76 (no injury) 
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.72 (no injury) 
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.89 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.65 (no injury) 
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.16 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.55 (no injury) 
Mf Breno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.83 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.59 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.58 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nestor Omlin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edgar Jimenez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 12

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       11   0  33  55  21
  Watford                  17   0  57  18  22

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 57)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((55 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 3 ((33 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Robert Bak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Gustavo García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 32.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17   0  57  18  22
  Plymouth Argyle FC       11   0  33  55  21

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 33)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 55) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 4 ((57 - 21) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Victor Bach
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 48.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Victor Bach
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Meliton Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Meliton Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 74.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3  -  WATFORD 1
 
Match Notes
We need to keep momentum in league play. Every home match is an important one.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/18 - 3:06 AM
OST FTW!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/19 - 8:44 PM
 
 
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