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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
Youth Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz           5    2    7     Gk Kurt Östman            15    2   17
Sw Bradley Perry           9    2   11     Sw Thiago Boniek           9    2   11
Df Óscar Cespedes         13    2   15     Df Martin Persson          9    0    9
Df Jaap De wit             9    2   11     Df Mbaye Dieng             4    2    6
Df Joshua Partey           5    2    7     Mf Noah Martinez           9    2   11
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       13    2   15     Mf Abel Peeters            5    2    7
Mf Yuriy Taran             9    2   11     Mf Bruno Freda             4    2    6
Mf Jacques Mefire          5    2    7     Fw Paul Dumont            14    2   16
Fw Elliot Wilkins         19    2   21     Fw Óscar Vargas           14    2   16
Fw Takao Soma              9    2   11     Fw Atef Omar               9   -2    7
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko        5    2    7     Fw Fredrik Engberg         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7 11 33 33 39        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 15 24 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 11 33 33 39         T O T A L S       20 14 17 24 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.22 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.14 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.65 (no second yellow)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.64 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.86 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.89 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.89 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.55 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.34 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.02 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.38 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.32 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.62 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.36 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.07 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.31 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.29 (no red card)

Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.48 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.21 (no red card)

Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.19 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.5 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.62 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.14 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.27 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.13 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.37 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.78 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.28 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.1 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.67 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Abel Peeters is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.66 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no injury) 
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.19 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) 
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.75 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Fredrik Engberg is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Fredrik Engberg new match skill level =  4
      Fredrik Engberg new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 5

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   9  11  33  33  39
  Nottingham Forest        20  14  17  24  45

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 22 (39 - 17); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 99.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 77.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        20  14  17  24  45
  Brighton & Hove Albion   9  11  33  33  39

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 12 (45 - 33); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Best of luck in your other matches Steve. 😉
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/09 - 10:32 PM
Only 2 games away from winning the cup. Brighton is having an incredible season!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/10 - 4:58 AM
Good Luck Beer
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/10 - 8:13 AM
Can Steve overcome the "Meditech wall" of well-wishers to Brian?
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/11 - 11:04 PM
I feel as thought this is a match we might not escape.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/12 - 7:15 PM
Interesting battle
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/13 - 6:23 PM
Well done Brian!
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/13 - 7:24 PM
Unlucky Steve, not the day for the GK to have a ‘mare
Roger (Bristol City FC) 07/13 - 7:24 PM
Unlucky? Pfft. 12 attacks - no shots on target
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/13 - 8:21 PM
Our only win of the session is at least an important one.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/14 - 12:00 AM
 
 
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