(N)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Youth Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18 Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18
Df Eric Kompany 11 2 13 Df Mbaye Dieng 15 2 17
Df Aymen Mansour 8 2 10 Df Victor Rui 9 2 11
Df Mario Egli 8 2 10 Df Pieter Willems 5 2 7
Df William Kwadwo 5 2 7 Df Russell Taylor 2 2 4
Mf Quentin Meunier 9 2 11 Mf Marwan Sforza 9 2 11
Mf Seol Sun 4 2 6 Mf Fernando Bentancur 9 2 11
Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18 Mf Paul Simons 5 2 7
Fw Cássio Lemos 16 2 18 Fw Ederson Fabinho 14 2 16
Fw Franco Almada 9 2 11 Fw Rico Santambrogio 9 2 11
Fw Yvan Thijs 5 2 7 Fw Ghaith Abid 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 0 40 17 54 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 39 29 34
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 1 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
21 0 40 18 54 T O T A L S 18 0 47 29 34
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 21.73 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 7.48 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.25 (no red card)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.32 (no red card)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.87 (no red card)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.52 (no second yellow)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.85 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.91 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.19 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.33 (no red card)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.23 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.08 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.56 (no red card)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.62 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.41 (no red card)
Df Russell Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.76 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.69 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.6 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.69 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.75 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.76 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.62 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.42 (no injury)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.1 (no injury)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.05 (no injury)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.03 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.66 (no injury)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.49 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.83 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.0 (no injury)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.72 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.83 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.57 (no injury)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.73 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.65 (no injury)
Df Russell Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.97 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.17 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.27 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.65 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.77 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.08 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 15
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 0 40 18 54
Nottingham Forest 18 0 47 29 34
Nottingham Forest is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 4 (54 - 47) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((40 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df William Kwadwo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Eric Kompany
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 0 47 29 34
Southend United 21 0 40 18 54
Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 40)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 6 ((29 - 18) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 54) / 5; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Fernando Bentancur
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Bentancur
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Fernando Bentancur
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Fernando Bentancur
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 82.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Marwan Sforza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 43.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Marwan Sforza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 71.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
With 10 youth including 5 APPs in Colin's side this will be hard to work out so may need penalties.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/28 - 6:42 PM
I think this will be a very tight match. Good luck guys.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/01 - 7:28 PM
We'll be watching from the stands (since we couldn't get past Southend in the shootout).
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/03 - 3:36 PM
Steve is a fan favorite, but I’m picking SOU.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/07 - 6:57 AM
Well played Colin. Did everything I could against their 10 points youth superiority. Almost made it to penalties.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/07 - 6:39 PM
I got lucky - again. Phew!
Colin (Southend United) 03/07 - 8:22 PM