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Saturday, April 4th, 2026 - 05:54:13 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
AP Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          16    2   18     Gk Pathé Ndong            14    2   16
Df Walter Hamisu          14    2   16     Df Jordan Cummings        13    2   15
Df Joel Calvo             11    2   13     Df Munir Hamdallah        12    2   14
Df Joseph Jones           11    2   13     Df Bonturo Ferrari        11    2   13
Df Harry Martyn           10    2   12     Df Miguel de la Cruz      10    2   12
Mf Arthur Goodwin         15    2   17     Mf Kwasi Twumasi          13    2   15
Mf Tobias Graf            11    2   13     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        9    2   11
Fw Geovanny Arley         13    2   15     Fw Dario Vasilj           14    2   16
Fw Martyn Palmer          13    2   15     Fw Yeltsin Venegas        14    2   16
Fw Eduardo Luna           17    1   18     Fw Renato Cabanas         16    2   18
Fw Victor Pino            10    2   12     Fw Gerry Maclaren          9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 54 30 60        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 54 26 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  6    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  0 54 39 60         T O T A L S       19  0 54 26 66    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.33 (no red card)

Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.25 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.15 (no red card)

Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.28 (no red card)

Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.11 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.43 (no red card)

Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.56 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.63 (no red card)

Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.9 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.6 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.55 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.85 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.46 (no red card)

Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.09 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.42 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.15 (no red card)

Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.21 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.29 (no red card)

Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.33 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.19 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.81 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Valentin Lugn is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Valentin Lugn new match skill level =  8
      Valentin Lugn new match total level =  10
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.68 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.0 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.42 (no injury) 
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.92 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.48 (no injury) 
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.15 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.1 (no injury) 
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.6 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.97 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.3 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.26 (no injury) 
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.07 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.9 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.35 (no injury) 
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.59 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.63 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.47 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.82 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.76 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 8

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     13   0  54  39  60
  Swansea City AFC         19   0  54  26  66

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 6 (60 - 54); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((39 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 72.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 93.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 77.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 75.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         19   0  54  26  66
  Preston North End FC     13   0  54  39  60

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 6 (66 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Well played Ian
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 02/22 - 12:38 PM  
On another day we could have won
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 02/22 - 12:38 PM  
Unlucky to lose so late but North End deserved it.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/22 - 5:01 PM  
Preston wins all 4 games this weekend. Amazing!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/26 - 1:14 AM  
 
 
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