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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 49 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           14    2   16     Gk Alberto Flores         14    2   16
Sw Gilbert Tchato          3    2    5     Df Eugene Goodwin         13    0   13
Df Vincent Hamidou        13    2   15     Df Cadwaladr Lewis        13    1   14
Df Kenzie Fraser           7    2    9     Df Martin Rodríguez       10    2   12
Df Alain Teulet            6    2    8     Df Willy Cerfbeer          7    2    9
Mf Diop N'day             11    2   13     Mf Efe Akpan              12    0   12
Mf Marco Arce             11    2   13     Mf Rafal Karas             7    2    9
Fw Cássio Lemos           14    2   16     Fw Gavin Wright           15    1   16
Fw Jamie Behich           11    2   13     Fw Mbark Sabiri           13   -1   12
Fw Kenzie McDonald        14    0   14     Fw Dafydd Chapman         13    1   14
Fw Pedro Viera             6    2    8     Fw Armand Songo'o         14    1   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  5 32 26 51        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 48 21 57    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  5 32 26 60         T O T A L S       16  0 55 21 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.73 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.66 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.95 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.41 (no red card)

Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.81 (no red card)

Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.78 (no second yellow)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.7 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.01 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.9 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.52 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.56 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.72 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.23 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.64 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.5 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.88 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.22 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.57 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.97 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.72 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.23 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.39 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Alain Teulet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alain Teulet new match skill level =  3
      Alain Teulet new match total level =  5
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.71 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.86 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.81 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.63 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.57 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.39 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.18 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.26 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.61 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.63 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.93 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.8 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.25 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.91 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.74 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16   5  29  26  60
  Bristol City FC          16   0  55  21  57

Southend United Fw Attacks = 5 (60 - 55); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Marco Arce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 47.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Diop N'day
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 69.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Marco Arce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16   0  55  21  57
  Southend United          16   5  29  26  60

Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 14 (57 - 29) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 98.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 24.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 2
 
Match Notes
A tough matchup, and we're stretched thin with four matches this session.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/25 - 5:06 PM
I took a chance that Bristol would be looking to win elsewhere and it didn’t pay off. Ahh well…
Colin (Southend United) 01/26 - 1:13 AM
Southend still put out a solid lineup. We're fortunate to advance.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/28 - 12:55 AM
 
 
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