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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          15    2   17     Gk Alonso Lopez           15    2   17
Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    0   13     Sw Glen Clarke            14    2   16
Df Leonardo Marino        10    2   12     Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14
Df Mohamadou Sy            7    2    9     Df Vincent Hamidou        11    2   13
Mf Tatsuo Itakura         13    0   13     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Mf Jorge Perez            12    2   14     Mf Claes Östberg          11    1   12
Mf Khaled Balhadj         12    0   12     Mf Randall Navarrete      15    2   17
Mf Daniel Kelly           10    0   10     Fw Cássio Lemos           14    2   16
Mf Faustino Verón          3    2    5     Fw Rónald Aguilera        11    2   13
Fw Si-Won Min-woo         12    1   13     Fw Kenzie McDonald        11    2   13
Fw Evaristo Masis          7    2    9     Fw Roman Radomski         10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 34 54 22        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 40 29 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 34 63 22         T O T A L S       20 16 40 29 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.23 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.19 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.11 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.08 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.08 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.32 (no second yellow)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.14 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.16 (no second yellow)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.69 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.64 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.32 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 68.56 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.88 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.61 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.0 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.33 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.47 (no red card)

Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.87 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.73 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.73 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.15 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.99 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.77 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.69 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.99 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.4 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.46 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.66 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.03 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.85 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.16 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.72 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 71.7 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.04 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.56 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.29 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.52 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.55 (no injury) 
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.19 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.78 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.22 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.76 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bassirou Mbaye SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 15

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17   0  34  63  22
  Southend United          20  16  40  29  54

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 40)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((63 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 54) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 19.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Khaled Balhadj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 85.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 81.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  16  40  29  54
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17   0  34  63  22

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 10 (54 - 34) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 63) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 6 ((40 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 78.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 4
 
Match Notes
Good luck Colin! I'm going to need it! LOL
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/08 - 1:17 AM
Too much firepower. Colin sacrificed youth to play here.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/09 - 2:04 AM
Big match - no room for kids.
Cheers Rob!
Colin (Southend United) 06/09 - 2:10 PM
 
 
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