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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Michel Vargas          11   -2    9     Gk Anton Rogic            14    2   16
Df Tony Ford              12    1   13     Sw Ilija Livaja           13    1   14
Df Lucas Stuhr            11    1   12     Df Oribe Vega             15    2   17
Df Gharib Alami            9    2   11     Df Kim Yong               10    2   12
Df Enrique Masis           6    2    8     Mf Angus McKay            14    2   16
Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene     13    1   14     Mf Arthur Goodwin          3    2    5
Mf Jacob King             13    2   15     Fw Quique Diez            14    2   16
Mf Khalid Idrissi         12    0   12     Fw Johan Van Zandt        11    2   13
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann   14    1   15     Fw Hong Jung              10    2   12
Fw Michaël Van der heijden12    1   13     Fw Hitoshi Nakamura       10    2   12
Fw Ollie Hart             14    2   16     Fw Eduardo Luna            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 44 41 44        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 29 21 62    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 51 41 53         T O T A L S       17 14 29 21 62    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.12 (no red card)

Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.54 (no red card)

Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.97 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.36 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.79 (no red card)

Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.39 (no red card)

Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.18 (no red card)

Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.09 (no red card)

Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.87 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.43 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.77 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 66.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 17.53 (no red card)

Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.99 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.33 (no red card)

Df Kim Yong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.49 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Kim Yong new match skill level =  5
      Kim Yong new match total level =  7

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.24 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.76 (no red card)

Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.24 (no red card)

Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.53 (no red card)

Fw Hong Jung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.61 (no second yellow)

Fw Hitoshi Nakamura: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.34 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.47 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 16.44 (no injury) 
Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.44 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.24 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.16 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.27 (no injury) 
Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.21 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.86 (no injury) 
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.8 (no injury) 
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.58 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Maximillian Hoffmann is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Maximillian Hoffmann new match skill level =  7
      Maximillian Hoffmann new match total level =  8
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.03 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.13 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 18.31 (no injury) 
Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.35 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.25 (no injury) 
Df Kim Yong: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.92 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.88 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.09 (no injury) 
Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.6 (no injury) 
Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no injury) 
Fw Hong Jung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.9 (no injury) 
Fw Hitoshi Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ollie Hart SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Anton Rogic SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Michel Vargas SL 11

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         9   0  51  41  46
  Preston North End FC     17  14  24  21  62

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 22 (46 - 24); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((41 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 62) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jacob King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  14  24  21  62
  Swansea City AFC         9   0  51  41  46

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 11 (62 - 51); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 2.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 33.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 66.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Hitoshi Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 99.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 67.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Hong Jung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 83.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 13.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Hitoshi Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 2  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 4
 
Match Notes
Great, first my #1 keeper, now my #1 forward randomly injured and out for weeks
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 02/21 - 1:33 AM
 
 
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