(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SOUTHEND UNITED PRESTON NORTH END FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alonso Lopez 14 2 16 Gk Smahi Regragui 15 2 17 Sw Glen Clarke 13 2 15 Df Abdul Otu 10 2 12 Df Manuel Ortiz 12 2 14 Df Kim Yong 8 1 9 Df Kenzie Fraser 11 2 13 Df Miguel Torres 6 2 8 Df Mauricio López 6 2 8 Df Joel Calvo 3 2 5 Mf Claes Östberg 11 1 12 Mf Miguel López 13 2 15 Mf Randall Navarrete 15 2 17 Mf Angus McKay 13 2 15 Fw Cássio Lemos 14 2 16 Mf Leif Andersen 10 1 11 Fw Kenzie McDonald 11 2 13 Fw Eduardo Luna 10 2 12 Fw Rónald Aguilera 10 2 12 Fw Johan Van Zandt 8 1 9 Fw Roman Radomski 10 2 12 Fw Raphaël Mayeux 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 15 35 29 53 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 34 41 29 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 15 35 29 62 T O T A L S 17 0 34 41 29 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.22 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 95.05 (no red card) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.69 (no red card) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.34 (no red card) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.66 (no red card) Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.88 (no red card) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.69 (no red card) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.05 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.27 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.61 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.0 (no red card) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.63 (no red card) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.68 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.89 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no red card) Df Kim Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.2 (no red card) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.02 (no red card) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.71 (no red card) Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.15 (no red card) Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.18 (no red card) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.21 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.46 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.99 (no second yellow) Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.19 (no red card) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.71 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 39.29 (no injury) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.68 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Glen Clarke is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Glen Clarke new match skill level = 7 Glen Clarke new match total level = 9 Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.48 (no injury) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.94 (no injury) Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.49 (no injury) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.26 (no injury) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.27 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.31 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.39 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.39 (no injury) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.05 (no injury) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 93.31 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.48 (no injury) Df Kim Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.63 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Miguel Torres is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Miguel Torres new match skill level = 3 Miguel Torres new match total level = 5 Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.24 (no injury) Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.84 (no injury) Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.22 (no injury) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.69 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.03 (no injury) Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.86 (no injury) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.18 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 15 intRndPk = 67 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Miguel López SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 17 9 35 29 62 Preston North End FC 17 0 31 41 29 Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap! Southend United Fw Attacks = 16 (62 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 41) / 2; rounded up) Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((35 - 29) / 3); result rounded up Southend United Total Attacks = 18 1: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 17 0 31 41 29 Southend United 17 9 35 29 62 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 35) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((41 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 62) / 5; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Mf Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SOUTHEND UNITED 2 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0