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Wednesday, January 28th, 2026 - 11:23:05 PM (gmt)
 
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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Vukovic           14    2   16     Gk Jonathan Kome          14    2   16
Sw Lucien Kalla            8    2   10     Df Martin Persson         13    1   14
Df Tyler Foden            12    0   12     Sw Jean Courtial           7    2    9
Df Pius Issa              11    2   13     Df Victor Rui              6    2    8
Df Shiro Minamino          6    2    8     Df Pieter Willems          3    2    5
Mf Luca da Silva          11    2   13     Df Bruno Freda             6    1    7
Mf Pedro Vazquez           6    2    8     Mf Marwan Sforza           6    2    8
Fw Farzan Vestergaard     13    1   14     Mf Fernando Bentancur      6    2    8
Fw Evaristo Masis         16    1   17     Mf Paul Simons             3    2    5
Fw Marek Carsley          12    0   12     Fw Rico Santambrogio       6    2    8
Fw Danylo Morozov         11    2   13     Fw Ghaith Abid             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 10 33 21 56        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 34 21 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 10 33 22 64         T O T A L S       16 12 38 21 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.86 (no red card)

Sw Lucien Kalla: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.02 (no red card)

Df Tyler Foden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.91 (no red card)

Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.17 (no second yellow)

Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.41 (no red card)

Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.05 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.01 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.99 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.57 (no red card)

Fw Marek Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.16 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Marek Carsley new match skill level =  6
      Marek Carsley new match total level =  6

Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.87 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.08 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.35 (no red card)

Sw Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.82 (no red card)

Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.4 (no red card)

Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.97 (no red card)

Df Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.51 (no red card)

Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.77 (no second yellow)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.97 (no red card)

Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.49 (no red card)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.19 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.67 (no injury) 
Sw Lucien Kalla: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.83 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Foden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.99 (no injury) 
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.57 (no injury) 
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.16 (no injury) 
Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.4 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.41 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.15 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.79 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Carsley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.22 (no injury) 
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.7 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.59 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.25 (no injury) 
Sw Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.62 (no injury) 
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.52 (no injury) 
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no injury) 
Df Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.77 (no injury) 
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.56 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.43 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.3 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Evaristo Masis SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 14

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Persson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 14

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       16  10  33  22  58
  Nottingham Forest        16  12  38  21  13

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 20 (58 - 38); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 7 ((33 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Pius Issa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Tyler Foden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Tyler Foden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Shiro Minamino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Tyler Foden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 81.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Pius Issa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Tyler Foden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Luca da Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 89.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 5.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Marek Carsley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Marek Carsley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Marek Carsley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  12  38  21  13
  Plymouth Argyle FC       16  10  33  22  58

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 33)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
The idea is to stay above the relegation line. Let's see if we can do that.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/24 - 2:12 AM
Other than the red card, a solid day for the Pilgrims.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/28 - 5:45 PM
 
 
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