(N)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonas Lien 14 1 15 Gk Alexander Bach 6 2 8
Sw Earnie Riding 4 1 5 Df Freddie Harris 13 1 14
Df Niklas Köhler 9 0 9 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 10 1 11
Df Alain Debast 7 1 8 Df Martin Rodríguez 6 1 7
Df Jaap De wit 5 2 7 Df James Aminu 2 2 4
Df Patrick Kelly 3 1 4 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 10 1 11
Df Joshua Partey 2 2 4 Mf Hisao Higashiguchi 7 1 8
Mf Ryan Brady 8 0 8 Mf Denis Fellaini 6 2 8
Mf Victor Araújo 6 1 7 Mf José Drummond 2 2 4
Mf Yuriy Taran 5 2 7 Fw Alex Etoundi 12 1 13
Fw Khalilou Konaté 12 0 12 Fw Dario Sucic 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 5 32 22 12 ROSTER TOTALS 8 0 36 31 21
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 2 5 0
=======================================================================
15 6 32 22 12 T O T A L S 9 0 38 36 21
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.92 (no red card)
Sw Earnie Riding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.08 (no red card)
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.58 (no red card)
Df Alain Debast: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.44 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.18 (no red card)
Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.81 (no red card)
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.52 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.54 (no red card)
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.19 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.48 (no second yellow)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.31 (no red card)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.61 (no red card)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 10.7 (no red card)
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.55 (no red card)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.41 (no red card)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.71 (no red card)
Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.85 (no red card)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.42 (no red card)
Mf Hisao Higashiguchi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no red card)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.07 (no red card)
Mf José Drummond: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.97 (no red card)
Fw Alex Etoundi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.61 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.65 (no second yellow)
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 85.57 (no injury)
Sw Earnie Riding: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.89 (no injury)
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no injury)
Df Alain Debast: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no injury)
Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury)
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.49 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.59 (no injury)
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.34 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.28 (no injury)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.42 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury)
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.45 (no injury)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.37 (no injury)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.66 (no injury)
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.08 (no injury)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.34 (no injury)
Mf Hisao Higashiguchi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.4 (no injury)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.7 (no injury)
Mf José Drummond: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury)
Fw Alex Etoundi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.33 (no injury)
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.26 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Khalilou Konaté SL 12
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Freddie Harris SL 13
- Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 15 6 32 22 12
Weston-super-Mare AFC 9 0 38 36 21
Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Jaap De wit
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Niklas Köhler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Niklas Köhler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 88.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Alain Debast
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 9 0 38 36 21
Brighton & Hove Albion 15 6 32 22 12
Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 32)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((36 - 22) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 12) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Df James Aminu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf José Drummond
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
Match Notes
Leeds thru with a 5-goal win or if they better Brighton's result. Weston are thru unless they lose by 5 or more and Brighton win.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:06 AM
I bungled that! Weston are through unless Brighton win by three goals and Leeds win and make up the 9 goals of goal difference. Brighton are through with a 3-goal win or if they match Leeds result.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/19 - 12:08 AM
Truly not sure we can advance out of the group stage this season. The club has not advanced past round two since claiming the AP trophy during season 42.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/20 - 7:30 PM
😬😢
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/20 - 7:30 PM
Bach vs Lien says it all. Super happy to advance.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/25 - 6:08 PM
Glad you made it. Bach was my weak link!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/26 - 7:43 PM