(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED SWANSEA CITY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Xavier Lambert 14 2 16 Gk Pathé Ndong 13 2 15
Sw Ramires Jesus 15 2 17 Df Miguel de la Cruz 15 1 16
Df Jacob Beynon 14 2 16 Df Enrique Masis 13 2 15
Df Eirwyn Davey 9 2 11 Df Gharib Alami 10 0 10
Mf Marcus Teulet 14 2 16 Df Jordan Cummings 9 2 11
Mf Aliyu Edet 9 2 11 Mf Walid Sellimi 15 -2 13
Fw Javier Gimenez 13 2 15 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 12 2 14
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 15 2 17 Fw Renato Cabanas 15 2 17
Fw Salem Bejaoui 10 1 11 Fw Gerry Maclaren 15 2 17
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 9 2 11 Fw Michaël Van der heijden16 2 18
Fw Javier Jimenez 9 2 11 Fw Yeltsin Venegas 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 17 27 27 65 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 52 27 63
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 6 3
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 17 39 27 65 T O T A L S 15 0 52 33 66
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.23 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.97 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.68 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.09 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.06 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.58 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.78 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.64 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Salem Bejaoui new match skill level = 5
Salem Bejaoui new match total level = 6
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.97 (no red card)
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.91 (no red card)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.06 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.0 (no red card)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.39 (no red card)
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.78 (no red card)
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.02 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.25 (no red card)
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.04 (no red card)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.52 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Mikkel Hedegaard new match skill level = 6
Mikkel Hedegaard new match total level = 8
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Renato Cabanas new match skill level = 8
Renato Cabanas new match total level = 10
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.48 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.61 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.77 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.88 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.64 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Marcus Teulet is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.77 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.6 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury)
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.41 (no injury)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.68 (no injury)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.43 (no injury)
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.19 (no injury)
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.99 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.03 (no injury)
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.11 (no injury)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.87 (no injury)
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.18 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.12 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.92 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Takeshi Fukunishi SL 15
- Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13
intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14
intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 16 17 39 27 60
Swansea City AFC 15 0 52 27 59
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 8 (60 - 52); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 15 0 52 27 59
Carlisle United 16 17 39 27 60
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (59 - 39); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 60) / 5; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 25.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 2 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
Match Notes
The second improbable win of the session. At least we drop to Division 3 with positive vibes.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/09 - 4:02 AM