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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Choi Sung              11    2   13     Gk Alex M'Boma            15    0   15
Sw Ibou Sene              15   -2   13     Sw Jun-Seo Min            10    2   12
Df Edilberto Moreno       16    0   16     Df Marcel Pechet          13    2   15
Df Jeff Stewart           14   -1   13     Df Guy Herpoel            10    2   12
Df Amalio Zanetti         12    0   12     Mf Rónald Zeledon         10    2   12
Mf Jonatan López          16    0   16     Mf Lyn Rogers              5    2    7
Mf Edwin O'Kelly          14   -1   13     Fw Clement Kenne          15    0   15
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    16   -1   15     Fw David Dziekanowski     14    0   14
Fw Alfonso Mesén          15    0   15     Fw José Borges            15    0   15
Fw Julio Morales          10    2   12     Fw Kwame Karikari         10    2   12
Fw Alberto Mina           10    2   12     Fw Luiz Fabinho            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 41 29 54        ROSTER TOTALS      15 12 27 19 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  4  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  9  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 54 29 54         T O T A L S       15 12 27 28 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Choi Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.23 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.17 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.17 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.67 (no red card)

Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.89 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.19 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.29 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.86 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.57 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.61 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.36 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.5 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.15 (no red card)

Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.96 (no red card)

Mf Rónald Zeledon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.91 (no red card)

Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)

Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.72 (no red card)

Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.37 (no red card)

Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.35 (no red card)

Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.46 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Choi Sung: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.71 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.83 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.63 (no injury) 
Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.87 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.36 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.94 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.32 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.21 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no injury) 
Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no injury) 
Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.97 (no injury) 
Mf Rónald Zeledon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.73 (no injury) 
Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.72 (no injury) 
Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.61 (no injury) 
Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no injury) 
Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.32 (no injury) 
Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Luiz Fabinho is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luiz Fabinho new match skill level =  3
      Luiz Fabinho new match total level =  5
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edilberto Moreno SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alex M'Boma SL 15

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clement Kenne SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Choi Sung SL 11

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          16  16  54  29  54
  Dagenham & Redbridge     15  12  27  28  61

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 27 (54 - 27); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     15  12  27  28  61
  Chesterfield FC          16  16  54  29  54

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 7 (61 - 54); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 73.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 3  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
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