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Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WYCOMBE WANDERERS                          DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Brynmor Harding        15    0   15     Gk Arwyn Collins          11    2   13
Sw Lucas Defossé           9    2   11     Sw Esteban Martin         15    2   17
Df Kaies Mhedhebi         17    0   17     Df Jonathan Acosta        14    2   16
Df Francesco Montella     15    0   15     Df Benedicto Montiel      13    1   14
Df Abel Malacia           10    1   11     Df Marko Mandžukic        12    2   14
Mf Alfonso Rodríguez      10    2   12     Df Grégory Lloris          8    2   10
Mf Sebastian Silvera       9    1   10     Mf Bertus De leeuw        15    1   16
Fw Mathieu Song           15    0   15     Mf Ivan Vida              13    2   15
Fw Ricardo Sousa          14    0   14     Fw Torben Thygesen        15    2   17
Fw Krunoslav Modric       11    0   11     Fw Omar Bouazizi          10    2   12
Fw Herman Fazio            5    2    7     Fw Ayrton Bielsa          13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 43 22 47        ROSTER TOTALS      13 17 54 31 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 11 52 22 47         T O T A L S       16 18 54 31 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.02 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Defossé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.36 (no red card)

Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.94 (no red card)

Df Francesco Montella: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.14 (no second yellow)

Df Abel Malacia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.24 (no red card)

Mf Alfonso Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.71 (no red card)

Mf Sebastian Silvera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.42 (no red card)

Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no red card)

Fw Ricardo Sousa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.31 (no red card)

Fw Krunoslav Modric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.33 (no red card)

Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.56 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 61.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 66.3 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 99.04 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 26.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 80.54 (no red card)

Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 33.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.09 (no red card)

Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 33.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 21.89 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 76.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 21.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 93.67 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 5.62 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 19.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 21.01 (no red card)

Fw Omar Bouazizi: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 12.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 12.18 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.24 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Defossé: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.47 (no injury) 
Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 94.65 (no injury) 
Df Francesco Montella: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 62.93 (no injury) 
Df Abel Malacia: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 57.41 (no injury) 
Mf Alfonso Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 41.23 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastian Silvera: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 65.92 (no injury) 
Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 79.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ricardo Sousa: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no injury) 
Fw Krunoslav Modric: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 95.11 (no injury) 
Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 6.79 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 8.59 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.66 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.13 (no injury) 
Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.4 (no injury) 
Df Marko Mandžukic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.03 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.25 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.27 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.38 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.23 (no injury) 
Fw Omar Bouazizi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.1 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kaies Mhedhebi SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Arwyn Collins SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bertus De leeuw SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Brynmor Harding SL 15

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 88 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        15  11  52  22  47
  Dorchester Town          16  18  54  31  43

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 54)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 3 ((52 - 43) / 3); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Kaies Mhedhebi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Abel Malacia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Kaies Mhedhebi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16  18  54  31  43
  Wycombe Wanderers        15  11  52  22  47

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 52)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 5 ((31 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 3 ((54 - 47) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Marko Mandžukic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jonathan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Marko Mandžukic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
Hoping to end on a good note
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/17 - 6:37 AM
Good luck Aires. We need to take at least four points from our last two games, so need something here.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/19 - 11:30 AM
We got a bit lucky with a penalty but we needed the win.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/24 - 10:24 PM
Dang just missed
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 08/01 - 5:24 AM
Great win well done
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 08/01 - 5:25 AM
 
 
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