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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            13    2   15     Gk Logan McKennie         13    2   15
Df Miguel de la Cruz      15    1   16     Sw Esteban Martin         13    2   15
Df Enrique Masis          13    2   15     Df Andre Ngwa             15    2   17
Df Gharib Alami           10    0   10     Df Vieira Mendes          13    2   15
Df Jordan Cummings         9    2   11     Df Jonathan Acosta        12    2   14
Mf Walid Sellimi          15   -2   13     Df Josip Sommer            9    2   11
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       12    2   14     Mf Bastiaan de Jong       14    2   16
Fw Renato Cabanas         15    2   17     Mf Harold Thorne           5    2    7
Fw Gerry Maclaren         15    2   17     Fw Aaron Jones            15    2   17
Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18     Fw Boris Rudenko          16    2   18
Fw Yeltsin Venegas         9    2   11     Fw Teun Van der berg       9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 52 27 63        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 57 23 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  6  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 52 35 70         T O T A L S       17 17 57 23 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.2 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.49 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.21 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.32 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Gharib Alami new match skill level =  5
      Gharib Alami new match total level =  5

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.9 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.76 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.91 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.41 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.02 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.14 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.26 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 78.61 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 3.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.1 (no second yellow)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 65.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.0 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 32.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.38 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.56 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.02 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 22.31 (no second yellow)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 28.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.44 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 51.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 72.41 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 27.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 55.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.21 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 52.08 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 85.03 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.95 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 97.67 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.96 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 79.64 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 85.52 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 86.54 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 19.58 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.95 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Vieira Mendes is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.5 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.23 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.5 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.06 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.69 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.22 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 34 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15   0  47  35  70
  Dorchester Town          17  17  57  23  46

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (70 - 57); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((35 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((47 - 46) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          17  17  57  23  46
  Swansea City AFC         15   0  47  35  70

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 47)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
1pt for the swans here gets the title
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 03/08 - 6:19 AM
The Swans have ran away with the league. A big surprise if we get anything from this game.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/08 - 11:43 AM
It is hard to beat Swansea in their home!!
Abe (Leeds United) 03/09 - 11:47 PM
Congratulations with the second division trophy, Roy! Well done sir.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/10 - 12:59 AM
A decent effort but we got lucky to get nil!
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/11 - 7:00 PM
 
 
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