(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dylan De boer 15 2 17 Gk Ian Valle 9 2 11
Sw Pablo Odriozola 15 2 17 Sw Piotr Sobolewski 14 2 16
Df Jerome De Ketelaere 15 2 17 Df Magnus Waering 15 2 17
Df Sven Thoren 12 2 14 Df Joe Wilson 12 2 14
Df Meliton López 9 2 11 Df Dominique Coltorti 9 2 11
Mf Benedicto González 13 2 15 Mf Ivan Jackson 15 2 17
Mf Alan Herdman 13 2 15 Mf Clement Harouna 9 2 11
Mf Charlie Maclaren 9 -1 8 Mf Pieter Witsel 5 2 7
Fw Martin Aguilera 15 2 17 Fw Olivier Havet 15 2 17
Fw Hermidio Rivera 15 0 15 Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 2 16
Fw Ayrton Chamot 9 0 9 Fw Kalle Ljungberg 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 17 42 38 41 ROSTER TOTALS 11 16 42 35 44
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 17 42 38 50 T O T A L S 11 16 42 35 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.47 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.79 (no red card)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.71 (no red card)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.32 (no red card)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.49 (no red card)
Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.31 (no red card)
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.46 (no red card)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.6 (no red card)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.86 (no red card)
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.91 (no red card)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.19 (no red card)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.12 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.06 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.13 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.78 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.42 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.9 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.95 (no red card)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.92 (no red card)
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.14 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.62 (no red card)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.81 (no injury)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.35 (no injury)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.74 (no injury)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.57 (no injury)
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury)
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.65 (no injury)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.38 (no injury)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.33 (no injury)
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.75 (no injury)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.35 (no injury)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.26 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.72 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.35 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.09 (no injury)
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.91 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.66 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.17 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.52 (no injury)
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.03 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.83 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.23 (no injury)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jerome De Ketelaere SL 15
- Defending Gk: Ian Valle SL 9
intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Magnus Waering SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15
intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 20 17 42 38 50
Crewe Alexandra FC 11 16 42 35 44
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 8 (50 - 42); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((38 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Mf Charlie Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Charlie Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 92.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 71.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 84.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 11 16 42 35 44
Port Vale FC 20 17 42 38 50
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 2 (44 - 42); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 3 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
Match Notes
"Crewe Alexandra FC haven't won a league match at Vale Park since season 46."
~ John ~ Jul 4 (Port Vale FC)
yeah ok that was the last one
~ John ~ Jul 4 (Port Vale FC)
Port Vale will throw everything at us
~ Carl ~ Jul 5 (Crewe Alexandra FC)
Big game!
~ Allan ~ Jul 5 (Brentford FC)
Cautious Carl rolling into Vale Park with his clipboard and his low-risk mindset. Systematic only gets you so far when the pressure's on. Port Vale'll test him alright.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 6 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
Let the best man win :)
~ James ~ Jul 6 (Sheffield United)
Carl got a bit Olmec'd here on the scoreline
~ John ~ Jul 11 (Port Vale FC)
Ouch! But predictable. Port Vale were just too good.
~ Carl ~ Jul 12 (Crewe Alexandra FC)