Port Vale's home advantage is massive here — that groundsman bonus hands the forwards a real edge and Crewe's backline looks shaky under pressure. Dylan De Boer in goal will barely be tested, and Vale will nick it ugly but effective. That's Blyth Spartans football right there — grind it out, keep it tight, take your moment.

Port Vale's home advantage is doing real work here — that groundsman bonus funnelling nine points exclusively into forward areas is precisely the kind of marginal gain that quietly decides tight lower-league contests. Crewe's attacking output looks impressive on paper, but Pablo Odriozola sweeping behind a disciplined defensive line should contain Havet and Mkademi's threat well enough. I expect a narrow, slightly uncomfortable Port Vale win — the sort of game that looks inevitable in hindsight.