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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18     Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19     Sw Bryn Gough             15    2   17
Df Kurt Mörner            13    2   15     Df Nestor Omlin           15    2   17
Df Roman Piatek            9    2   11     Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    2   15
Mf Darrell Sinclair       12    2   14     Df Mohamadou Sy            9    2   11
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru           9    2   11     Mf Jorge Perez            14    2   16
Fw Mats Göthberg          13    2   15     Mf Tatsuo Itakura         13    0   13
Fw Raul Duarte            13    2   15     Mf Oscar Bremer            9    2   11
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen      13    2   15     Mf Faustino Verón          5    2    7
Fw Fabian Weber           14    2   16     Fw Syam Arfaoui           14    1   15
Fw Jacques Mahamat         9    2   11     Fw Evaristo Masis          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 19 26 25 72        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 43 47 26    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  1  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 22 27 27 79         T O T A L S       18 17 43 47 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.44 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.25 (no second yellow)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.04 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.36 (no red card)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.55 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.98 (no red card)

Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.59 (no second yellow)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.79 (no red card)

Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.1 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)

Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.43 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.93 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.64 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.23 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.22 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.74 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.0 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.53 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.19 (no second yellow)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.59 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 57.78 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.7 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.2 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.89 (no injury) 
Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.64 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.33 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.96 (no injury) 
Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.42 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 67.55 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.21 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.37 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.33 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.92 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.32 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.69 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.25 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.47 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.71 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Weber SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nestor Omlin SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  27  27  79
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  17  43  47  26

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 36 (79 - 43); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Df Kurt Mörner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 72.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  17  43  47  26
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  27  27  79

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 27)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((47 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 79) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 71 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2
 
Match Notes
Can QPR pull a win in this match? They must if they want a chance to win the title. Not an easy task against in-form Plymouth this season!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/10 - 4:54 AM
"In-form"... we lost 3 out of 4 last session, including getting dropped from 2 Cup competitions. Hardly seems like we're in form.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/13 - 2:19 PM
And our star FW is injured. OOF.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/13 - 2:22 PM
WOW. This might be the upset of the season.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/14 - 1:11 AM
 
 
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