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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Fernando Pellistri     12    1   13     Gk Logan McKennie         13    2   15
Sw Artur Boniek           12    0   12     Sw Esteban Martin         13    2   15
Df Rodrigo de Corona      16    0   16     Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15
Df Alex Hassan            14    1   15     Df Vieira Mendes          13    2   15
Mf Ike Azeez              11    2   13     Df Jonathan Acosta        12    2   14
Mf Henry Rowles           10    2   12     Df Josip Sommer            8    2   10
Fw Yahia El mostafa       14    0   14     Mf Bastiaan de Jong       12    2   14
Fw Erik Christiansen      11    0   11     Mf Ivan Vida              11    2   13
Fw Reimundo Almada        11    2   13     Fw Aaron Jones            14    2   16
Fw Eligio Palacios         8    2   10     Fw Torben Thygesen        13    2   15
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal          8    2   10     Fw Boris Rudenko          16    2   18

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 31 25 58        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 54 27 49    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 31 25 69         T O T A L S       17 17 54 27 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.58 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.64 (no second yellow)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.31 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.08 (no red card)

Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.14 (no second yellow)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.66 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.86 (no second yellow)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.76 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.95 (no red card)

Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.25 (no red card)

Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.44 (no red card)

Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.15 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 61.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 4.02 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.69 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.75 (no second yellow)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 52.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.59 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.52 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 21.95 (no second yellow)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 10.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 80.37 (no second yellow)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 46.77 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 15.77 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 87.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 5.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.0%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.25 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 29.67 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 59.87 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 24.51 (no injury) 
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 85.35 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 44.36 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 20.5 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) 
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 76.14 (no injury) 
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 79.34 (no injury) 
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 3.71 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Saïd Aboukhlal is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Saïd Aboukhlal new match skill level =  4
      Saïd Aboukhlal new match total level =  6

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.62 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 44.91 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 51.38 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 34.04 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.94 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 89.23 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 35.6 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.77 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 62.98 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 41.7 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 16.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13  12  31  25  65
  Dorchester Town          17  17  54  27  49

Derby County Fw Attacks = 11 (65 - 54); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          17  17  54  27  49
  Derby County             13  12  31  25  65

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 18 (49 - 31); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 48.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 64.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
The two bottom team’s battle it out. Another must win.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/18 - 10:56 PM
A big three points for us, to give us a chance of getting out of trouble.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/27 - 3:15 PM
 
 
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