(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl 10 2 12 Gk Eugene Vasilev 13 2 15
Sw Piotr Sobolewski 13 2 15 Sw Atsushi Oshima 12 2 14
Df Magnus Waering 14 2 16 Df Mouhamed Kamal 14 2 16
Df Dominique Coltorti 8 2 10 Df Patrick LecLercq 13 2 15
Df Gavin Jordan 4 2 6 Df Willy Cerfbeer 10 2 12
Mf Ivan Jackson 13 2 15 Mf Sebastiaan Blind 14 2 16
Mf Óscar Cota 13 2 15 Mf Isaac Juhlin 13 2 15
Mf Pieter Witsel 4 1 5 Fw Mislav Caleta-Car 15 2 17
Fw Olivier Havet 14 2 16 Fw José Oliveira 13 2 15
Fw Bassem Mkademi 13 2 15 Fw Jacob Jones 12 2 14
Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 2 16 Fw Julius Nwosu 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
12 15 32 35 47 ROSTER TOTALS 15 14 43 31 61
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 15 32 37 54 T O T A L S 15 14 43 31 61
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.32 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.81 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.52 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.55 (no red card)
Df Gavin Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.85 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.32 (no second yellow)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.45 (no red card)
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.27 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.71 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.24 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.89 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.55 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.91 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.63 (no red card)
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.24 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.62 (no red card)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.62 (no red card)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.02 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.25 (no red card)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.74 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.88 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.85 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.01 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.77 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.9 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.31 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.19 (no injury)
Df Gavin Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.61 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.06 (no injury)
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.55 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.88 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.65 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.77 (no injury)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.84 (no injury)
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.58 (no injury)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.92 (no injury)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.11 (no injury)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.48 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.01 (no injury)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.77 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.74 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.65 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.71 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Magnus Waering SL 14
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 13
intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mislav Caleta-Car SL 15
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 15 15 32 37 54
Bristol City FC 15 14 43 31 61
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 11 (54 - 43); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((37 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 18.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 15 14 43 31 61
Crewe Alexandra FC 15 15 32 37 54
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 29 (61 - 32); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 37) / 2; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 54) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 29
1: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
28: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 98.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0 - BRISTOL CITY FC 3
Match Notes
Halpin bringing his attacking philosophy to Gresty Road, which is a bold choice against a side allergic to excitement. Cautious Carl will have a low-block waiting and seventeen contingency plans for a 0-0.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 13 (Coventry City)
A big mid-table game neither side can afford to lose
~ Carl ~ Jun 14 (Crewe Alexandra FC)
You said it, Carl.
~ Jason ~ Jun 20 (Bristol City FC)
Three goals, no reply. Cautious Carl's system held firm — against absolutely nothing. Halpin's lads barely needed to break sweat.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 20 (Coventry City)
We couldn't afford to lose that one and did, in style
~ Carl ~ Jun 21 (Crewe Alexandra FC)
Big, big away win for us
~ Jason ~ Jun 27 (Bristol City FC)