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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Logan McKennie         13    2   15     Gk Alonso Lopez           14    2   16
Sw Esteban Martin         13    2   15     Sw Glen Clarke            12    2   14
Df Vieira Mendes          13    2   15     Df Vincent Hamidou        16    2   18
Df Hugo Quintero          12    2   14     Df Mauricio López         12    2   14
Df Jonathan Acosta        12    2   14     Mf Diop N'day             11    2   13
Df Josip Sommer            8    2   10     Mf Marco Arce             11    2   13
Mf Bertus De leeuw        13    2   15     Fw Cássio Lemos           16    2   18
Mf Ivan Vida              11    2   13     Fw Rónald Aguilera        12    2   14
Fw Aaron Jones            14    2   16     Fw Jamie Behich           11    2   13
Fw Torben Thygesen        13    2   15     Fw Ignacio Pékerman       11    2   13
Fw Boris Rudenko          16    2   18     Fw Kenzie McDonald        14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 53 28 49        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 32 26 74    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 53 33 53         T O T A L S       17 14 32 26 74    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.92 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.43 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.26 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.41 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.38 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.06 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.23 (no second yellow)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.06 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.87 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.04 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 84.31 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.78 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.4 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.45 (no red card)

Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.81 (no red card)

Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.77 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.36 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.64 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.71 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.63 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 74.1 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.88 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.67 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.48 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 57.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 96.38 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.55 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.78 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 30.94 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.0 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.51 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 12.96 (no injury) 
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 78.38 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 25.32 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.28 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.45 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 77.22 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 6.68 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 28 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Vincent Hamidou SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          17  15  53  33  53
  Southend United          17  14  32  26  74

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 21 (53 - 32); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 4 ((33 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17  14  32  26  74
  Dorchester Town          17  15  53  33  53

Southend United Fw Attacks = 21 (74 - 53); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
Our second relegation battle this weekend.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/10 - 5:47 PM
Draw seems fair
Colin (Southend United) 02/15 - 7:14 PM
A great fight back but we need to start winning.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/18 - 10:53 PM
 
 
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