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Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thomas Anderson        12    2   14     Gk Jonas Lien             16    2   18
Sw Mitsuo Soma            16    1   17     Sw Théo Billard           16    2   18
Df Mamoru Morishima       10    1   11     Df Eric Aidoo             12    2   14
Df Herman Lambert          8    2   10     Df Óscar Cespedes         11    2   13
Mf Ndiaga Mané            11    1   12     Df Jaap De wit             8    2   10
Mf Vibeke Skov             8    2   10     Mf Raouf Salem            12    2   14
Mf Abdel Baya              4    2    6     Mf William Gomez          12    2   14
Fw Curtis Carr            18    2   20     Mf Rigobert Mahamat       11    2   13
Fw Marouane Peeters       13    2   15     Mf Yuriy Taran             8    2   10
Fw Wladimir Groen          8    2   10     Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14
Fw Jakub Fabianski         8    2   10     Fw Khalilou Konaté        12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 21 28 55        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 37 51 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 17 25 28 67         T O T A L S       18 19 37 51 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.43 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.58 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.29 (no red card)

Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.21 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.52 (no red card)

Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.2 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.99 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.53 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.53 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.55 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.29 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.22 (no second yellow)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.34 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.31 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.48 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.73 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.94 (no second yellow)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 60.85 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.71 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.03 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.19 (no injury) 
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.11 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.27 (no injury) 
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.95 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.75 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.61 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.34 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.27 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 1.93 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.9 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.93 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.91 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.08 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.95 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.11 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.55 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.88 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.75 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eric Aidoo SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  17  25  28  67
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  19  37  51  28

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (67 - 37); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  19  37  51  28
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  17  25  28  67

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 3 (28 - 25); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 12 ((51 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 67) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 3
 
Match Notes
We meet again Pierre.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/24 - 2:57 PM
I won’t say we deserved this one, but obviously happy with the result.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/29 - 7:56 PM
Is Brian on the way back to the big time?
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/29 - 10:05 PM
Our first road win of the campaign!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/30 - 2:25 AM
 
 
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