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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            14    2   16     Gk Kris Vermant           13    2   15
Sw Yarik Sidorenko         6    2    8     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         13    2   15
Df Jordan Cummings        13    2   15     Df Josip Sommer           13    2   15
Df Munir Hamdallah        12    2   14     Df Hugo Quintero          10    2   12
Df Min-Seong Jung          8    2   10     Df Pedro Romero            8    1    9
Mf Kwasi Twumasi          13    2   15     Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        9    2   11     Mf Anthony Brees          13    2   15
Fw Dario Vasilj           14    2   16     Mf Marcos Gomez            4    2    6
Fw Yeltsin Venegas        14    2   16     Fw Teun Van der berg      13    2   15
Fw Renato Cabanas         16    2   18     Fw Aaron Jones            16    1   17
Fw Fernando Guimarães      8    2   10     Fw Alexis Havet            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  8 39 26 60        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 36 37 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  8 48 26 60         T O T A L S       17 17 43 37 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.96 (no red card)

Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.37 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.92 (no red card)

Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.15 (no red card)

Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.93 (no red card)

Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.34 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.32 (no red card)

Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.18 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.94 (no second yellow)

Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.7 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 26.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 56.43 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.72 (no second yellow)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 34.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.19 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 48.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 68.28 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 50.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 59.56 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 36.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.27 (no red card)

Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 84.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.82 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 81.4 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 51.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card)

Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 64.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.22 (no injury) 
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 36.27 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 23.98 (no injury) 
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 11.86 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no injury) 
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.64 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 61.58 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.73 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 84.55 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 42.6 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.02 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.01 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.65 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.15 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no injury) 
Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.33 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.79 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Teun Van der berg is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Teun Van der berg new match skill level =  7
      Teun Van der berg new match total level =  9
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.43 (no injury) 
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         16   8  48  26  60
  Dorchester Town          17  17  43  37  32

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 17 (60 - 43); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((48 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Munir Hamdallah
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          17  17  43  37  32
  Swansea City AFC         16   8  48  26  60

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 48)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 3 ((37 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Anthony Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Anthony Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Marcos Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 2  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
The Swans have a big semifinal match this weekend so maybe a weakened team against us.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/15 - 5:29 PM  
Well outplayed and we deserved to lose.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/22 - 5:11 PM  
Still I think only one of us is getting relegated
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 02/24 - 7:14 PM  
 
 
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