(H)
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Artyom Szczesny 15 2 17 Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17
Sw Walter Wilson 12 0 12 Sw Alistair Robinson 8 2 10
Df Edoardo Vecchi 12 2 14 Df Nicola Panucci 14 -1 13
Df Daire Murray 9 2 11 Df Marco Sa 13 0 13
Mf Felipe Fernandez 13 2 15 Df Kyria Brozovic 8 2 10
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes 9 2 11 Df Deryn Cartwright 4 2 6
Fw Anir Tahiri 14 2 16 Mf Ousmane Laforest 8 2 10
Fw Francois Abdoulaye 12 2 14 Mf Alexander Dolberg 4 2 6
Fw Ko Chul 8 2 10 Mf Abdou Karim Mbengue 12 2 14
Fw Bedwyr Brown 8 2 10 Fw Agustin Martinez 8 2 10
Fw Francisco Murillo 7 2 9 Fw John Skoras 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 12 25 26 59 ROSTER TOTALS 17 10 42 30 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
17 12 25 26 68 T O T A L S 17 12 49 30 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.16 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.58 (no red card)
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.99 (no red card)
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.14 (no red card)
Df Daire Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.31 (no red card)
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.0 (no red card)
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.91 (no red card)
Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.81 (no red card)
Fw Ko Chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.87 (no red card)
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.32 (no red card)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.05 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.62 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.82 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.12 (no red card)
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.2 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.79 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.03 (no red card)
Mf Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.93 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no red card)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.39 (no injury)
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.65 (no injury)
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.09 (no injury)
Df Daire Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no injury)
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.76 (no injury)
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.52 (no injury)
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.15 (no injury)
Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury)
Fw Ko Chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.82 (no injury)
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.79 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Bedwyr Brown is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Bedwyr Brown new match skill level = 4
Bedwyr Brown new match total level = 6
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.23 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 78.87 (no injury)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.31 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.83 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no injury)
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.63 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.45 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury)
Mf Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.79 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.96 (no injury)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Anir Tahiri SL 14
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nicola Panucci SL 14
- Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 15
intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Northampton Town FC 17 12 25 26 64
Carlisle United 17 12 49 30 16
Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (64 - 49); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((25 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Df Daire Murray
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Edoardo Vecchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Edoardo Vecchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 12 49 30 16
Northampton Town FC 17 12 25 26 64
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 25)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 26) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Compo in a rush as ever — Carlisle will be quietly grateful if Northampton forget to defend while charging forward. Statistics suggest that approach tends to flatter the away team's xG.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 17 (Coventry City)
well done dave poor from us
~ Simon ~ Jun 21 (Northampton Town FC)
Daves fans went home bored to death with their team
~ Simon ~ Jun 21 (Northampton Town FC)
not a shot on target
~ Simon ~ Jun 21 (Northampton Town FC)