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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            14    2   16     Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18
Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17     Sw Jordan Bukari           8    2   10
Df Dragan Jedjav          14    1   15     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Df Martyn Owen            12    2   14     Df Alex Salisu            11    2   13
Df Rasmus Antonsen         8    2   10     Df Mauricio López          8    2   10
Df Maciek Szymanski        4    2    6     Df Alain Teulet            4    2    6
Mf Shoji Tanaka           14    1   15     Df Cristiano Lanzini       4    2    6
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez        8    2   10     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      6    2    8
Fw Lilian Cazenave        14    2   16     Mf Ludwig Troell           4    2    6
Fw Jack Williams          12    2   14     Fw Jamie Behich            8    2   10
Fw Armin Seuffert          8    2   10     Fw Pedro Viera             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 45 25 40        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 48 14 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 17 45 25 49         T O T A L S       18 10 48 16 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.67 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.13 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.23 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.73 (no red card)

Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.66 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.08 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.13 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.56 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.7 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.05 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.89 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.14 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.47 (no second yellow)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.03 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.18 (no red card)

Df Cristiano Lanzini: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.05 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.78 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.52 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 79.2 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.86 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.67 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.28 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.06 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.67 (no injury) 
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.3 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.88 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.91 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Jack Williams is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jack Williams new match skill level =  6
      Jack Williams new match total level =  8
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.91 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 2
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 18.73 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.52 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 7.74 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.88 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.51 (no injury) 
Df Cristiano Lanzini: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.96 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.9 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.77 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             16  17  45  25  43
  Southend United          18  10  48  16  16

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 48)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((25 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 10 ((45 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Alvaro Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Alvaro Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          18  10  48  16  16
  Brentford FC             16  17  45  25  43

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 45)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((48 - 43) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Alex Salisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 73.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Alex Salisu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 3  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Will this be our first loss at home to Southend in 26 seasons? Probably...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/28 - 8:54 PM
Fortunate to get the Southend Youth Cup squad today.
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/29 - 10:52 PM
 
 
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