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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mohammed Zakari        16    2   18     Gk Alberto Flores         14    1   15
Sw Santiago Ramos         15    2   17     Df Reece Gregory          10    1   11
Df Christian Kristensen   10    2   12     Df Martin Rodríguez       12    1   13
Df Martin Morales          8    2   10     Df Mario Rojas            10    2   12
Mf Cobi Keller            10    2   12     Df Marcus Bergman          7    2    9
Mf Hans Cornelius          8    2   10     Mf Rafal Karas             8    0    8
Fw Valentyn Shulga        14    2   16     Mf Tyler Page              7    2    9
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    16    2   18     Mf Gavin Wright           13    1   14
Fw Granit Wicky           13    2   15     Fw Mbark Sabiri           13    1   14
Fw Robbie Murphy          12    2   14     Fw Dafydd Chapman         13    1   14
Fw Chibuikem Thomas        8    2   10     Fw Julius Nwosu            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 22 22 73        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 45 31 38    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  3  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 17 26 25 75         T O T A L S       15  0 52 31 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 85.21 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)

Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.4 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.91 (no red card)

Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.35 (no red card)

Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.86 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.62 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.8 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.0 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.69 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.93 (no red card)

Df Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.3 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.42 (no red card)

Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.66 (no red card)

Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.09 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.2 (no red card)

Mf Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.54 (no red card)

Mf Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.07 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.15 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.42 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 49.38 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) 
Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.61 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.06 (no injury) 
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.39 (no injury) 
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.05 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.86 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.99 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.33 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.09 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 28.14 (no injury) 
Df Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.55 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury) 
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.17 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.77 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.78 (no injury) 
Mf Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.09 (no injury) 
Mf Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.06 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Mbark Sabiri is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mbark Sabiri new match skill level =  7
      Mbark Sabiri new match total level =  8
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.02 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          21  17  26  25  75
  Bristol City FC          15   0  52  31  32

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 12 (75 - 52) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          15   0  52  31  32
  Tranmere Rovers          21  17  26  25  75

Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (32 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((31 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 75) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Tyler Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 4.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 3  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Had a tough time with Tranmere at home, so not expecting much here.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/15 - 1:13 PM
 
 
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