Lewes are absolutely battering Forest in the final third tonight — Jose Pérez up front is going to cause them serious problems and their backline looks shaky to me. Oisin Lundin sweeping up behind a solid defence keeps us tight at the back when Forest do threaten. Home crowd, home turf — this is ours to lose and we won't be losing it.

Lewes are absolutely overwhelming Forest in the attacking third, and with Jose Pérez operating in behind what looks like a shaky Forest defensive unit, I'd expect him to cause Mbaye Dieng and Gueye serious problems all afternoon. The home advantage here is significant — that +9 boost plus a groundsman clearly favouring the forward line tells me Lewes have set this pitch up to run at Forest from minute one. Forest will nick one on the counter, probably through Santambrogio, but they simply don't have enough going forward to threaten a well-drilled Lewes side on their own turf.