(H)

Port Vale FC
John Holden

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PORT VALE FC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 1 17 Gk Samir Bouaziz 8 2 10 Df Carsten Kragelund 13 2 15 Sw Bradley Perry 15 2 17 Df Sion Bowen 12 0 12 Df Jaap De wit 13 2 15 Df Zak Smalls 8 2 10 Df Eric Aidoo 13 2 15 Mf Albert Ohrel 11 1 12 Df Joshua Partey 8 0 8 Mf Santiago Villa 8 2 10 Mf Yuriy Taran 13 2 15 Mf Zakaria Lahlou 7 2 9 Mf Jacques Mefire 8 2 10 Fw Peter Goossens 14 1 15 Fw Takao Soma 14 2 16 Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti 12 1 13 Fw Elliot Wilkins 16 2 18 Fw Ricardo Jashari 11 2 13 Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 9 2 11 Fw Adam Vasilev 8 2 10 Fw Vukmir Kovalenko 8 1 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 0 37 31 51 ROSTER TOTALS 10 17 38 25 54 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 0 37 31 60 T O T A L S 12 19 38 25 54 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.04 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 51.07 (no red card) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.06 (no red card) Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card) Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.57 (no red card) Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.03 (no red card) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.27 (no red card) Mf Zakaria Lahlou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.22 (no red card) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.77 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.13 (no second yellow) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.05 (no red card) Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.98 (no red card) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.68 (no red card) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.4 (no red card) Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.85 (no red card) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.46 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.3 (no red card) Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.36 (no red card) Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.35 (no red card) Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.97 (no red card) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.32 (no red card) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.74 (no red card) Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.13 (no red card) Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.47 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.83 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25% - Gk chance of injury = 2.12% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 25.13 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 54.18 (no injury) Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.13 (no injury) Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 33.5 (no injury) Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.77 (no injury) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.38 (no injury) Mf Zakaria Lahlou: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.91 (no injury) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 38.67 (no injury) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 34.82 (no injury) Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.39 (no injury) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.65 (no injury) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.87% Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury) Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 76.17 (no injury) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 87.94 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 30.03 (no injury) Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 75.17 (no injury) Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.77 (no injury) Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no injury) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 98.27 (no injury) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 57.87 (no injury) Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.31 (no injury) Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Vukmir Kovalenko is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Peter Goossens SL 14 - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 8 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 16 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 18 0 37 31 60 Brighton & Hove Albion 12 19 38 25 54 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 22 (60 - 38); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 54) / 5; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 6.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 77.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 45.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 54.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 12 19 38 25 54 Port Vale FC 18 0 37 31 60 Port Vale FC is using Offside Trap! Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 9 (54 - 37) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PORT VALE FC 3 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
Match Notes

We're doomed (not Dohmed).
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/10 - 12:53 PM

These days Brian that is one in the same thing!
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/12 - 1:46 PM


I need to write a happy little jingle to sing for relegation.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/15 - 9:36 PM

Good win for us
John (Port Vale FC) 02/15 - 10:02 PM

Already our fifth best league campaign of all time
John (Port Vale FC) 02/15 - 10:03 PM