(H)
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CHESTERFIELD FC SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Héctor Medrano 16 2 18 Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18
Sw Ricardo Gomes 13 0 13 Sw Gilbert Tchato 16 0 16
Df Guillermo Barreto 14 0 14 Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa 14 1 15
Df Kevin Flachat 10 2 12 Df Johan Teulet 12 2 14
Df Saul Arteaga 10 2 12 Df Lars Koster 12 2 14
Mf Steen Clausen 16 0 16 Df William Kwadwo 8 2 10
Mf Edwin O'Kelly 16 0 16 Df Donal Reid 4 2 6
Mf Alfie Campbell 11 2 13 Mf Leo Gaillot 8 2 10
Fw Mario Barrios 16 0 16 Mf Seol Sun 8 2 10
Fw Julio Morales 13 -1 12 Fw Franco Almada 12 2 14
Fw Marcos Talavera 11 2 13 Fw Yvan Thijs 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 13 38 45 41 ROSTER TOTALS 18 16 59 20 24
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 3 1 0
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18 13 38 45 50 T O T A L S 21 19 62 21 24
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.11 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.13 (no red card)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.29 (no red card)
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.37 (no red card)
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.15 (no red card)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.1 (no red card)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.42 (no red card)
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.53 (no red card)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.01 (no red card)
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.79 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.39 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 45.92 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.92 (no red card)
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.86 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.62 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.88 (no red card)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.15 (no red card)
Df Donal Reid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.97 (no red card)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.19 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.7 (no second yellow)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.83 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.51 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.04 (no second yellow)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.56 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Yvan Thijs new match skill level = 4
Yvan Thijs new match total level = 6
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 65.34 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.11 (no injury)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.33 (no injury)
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.92 (no injury)
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.77 (no injury)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury)
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.99 (no injury)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.79 (no injury)
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.57 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.98 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 2
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 24.69 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.85 (no injury)
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.12 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.43 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.42 (no injury)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.71 (no injury)
Df Donal Reid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.59 (no injury)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.42 (no injury)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.49 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.19 (no injury)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.79 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Steen Clausen SL 16
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tetsuo Hoshizawa SL 14
- Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16
intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chesterfield FC 18 13 38 45 50
Southend United 21 19 62 21 20
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 62)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((45 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 6 ((38 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Df Saul Arteaga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Kevin Flachat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Saul Arteaga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Saul Arteaga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 19 62 21 20
Chesterfield FC 18 13 38 45 50
Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 38)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 45) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((62 - 50) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Lars Koster
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Lars Koster
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
CHESTERFIELD FC 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
Match Notes
Colin making the trip down from Lesmahagow for this one. Chesterfield at home is never straightforward — I'll be watching the defensive shape closely.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 16 (Coventry City)
Too much DEF but PFD worked , even though it appeared to be unorthodox.
~ Colin ~ Jun 20 (Southend United)