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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18     Gk Alexander Bach          8    2   10
Sw Nazariy Kozak          13    2   15     Df Radoslaw Kaminski      11    2   13
Df André Bukari           13    2   15     Df Jamie Dunne             9    2   11
Df Marco Sibaja            8    2   10     Df Martin Rodríguez        8    2   10
Mf Faber Ruiz             13    1   14     Mf Yahia El idrissi       11    2   13
Mf Luis Jarquin            8    2   10     Mf Melvin Carmona          9    2   11
Fw Ichiro Sakai           13    1   14     Mf Denis Fellaini          8    2   10
Fw Juan Carlos Parra      13    1   14     Mf Hisao Higashiguchi      7    2    9
Fw Benvenuto Paoloni      12    0   12     Fw Dario Sucic             8    2   10
Fw Taylor Stevenson       14    1   15     Fw José Sánchez            7    2    9
Fw Jean Diouf              8    2   10     Fw Robert Fawlty           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 25 24 65        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 34 43 26    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  4  3    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 25 25 73         T O T A L S       13  0 41 47 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 85.69 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.05 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.15 (no second yellow)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.4 (no red card)

Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.48 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.59 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.39 (no red card)

Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.63 (no red card)

Fw Benvenuto Paoloni: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.12 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.4 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.1 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 36.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 86.5 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 21.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.03 (no red card)

Df Jamie Dunne: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 3.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.74 (no second yellow)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 95.25 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 63.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 46.41 (no red card)

Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 48.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 10.89 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 28.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 1.39 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Denis Fellaini new match skill level =  4
      Denis Fellaini new match total level =  6

Mf Hisao Higashiguchi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 66.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 20.06 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 1.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.86 (no second yellow)

Fw José Sánchez: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 29.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 1.0 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      José Sánchez new match skill level =  4
      José Sánchez new match total level =  6

Fw Robert Fawlty: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 29.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 63.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 98.96 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 27.59 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 66.26 (no injury) 
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 56.05 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 45.89 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury) 
Fw Benvenuto Paoloni: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 75.54 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 76.57 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 0.86 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Jean Diouf is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jean Diouf new match skill level =  4
      Jean Diouf new match total level =  6

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 12.99 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 63.58 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Dunne: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 58.93 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 1.63 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Martin Rodríguez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Martin Rodríguez new match skill level =  4
      Martin Rodríguez new match total level =  6
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 81.66 (no injury) 
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 40.63 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 95.69 (no injury) 
Mf Hisao Higashiguchi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 23.0 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 40.83 (no injury) 
Fw José Sánchez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 21.29 (no injury) 
Fw Robert Fawlty: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 11.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Taylor Stevenson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 26 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Radoslaw Kaminski SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  15  25  25  69
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   0  37  43  26

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 16 (69 - 37) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Paoloni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Paoloni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Paoloni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   0  37  43  26
  Lewes FC                 19  15  25  25  69

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 1 (26 - 25) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((43 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 69) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Hisao Higashiguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Hisao Higashiguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw José Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 3  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
 
Match Notes
The first leg was a physical match……..will this be part II?
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/29 - 3:10 PM
WST played angry and had nothing to show for it but suspensions and injuries……is relegation ahead?
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/29 - 6:34 PM
no you can have the last relegation spot
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/06 - 11:43 AM
 
 
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