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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Muhammed Asamoah       14    0   14     Gk Wilfried Kenne          8    2   10
Mf Mikkel Iversen         11    1   12     Sw Lars Stenbeck          10    2   12
Df Johnny Müller          11    2   13     Df Jules Giguere          14    1   15
Df Rodrigo de Corona      11    0   11     Df Fernando Xavier         8    2   10
Mf Henry Rowles           13    2   15     Df Carlos Moreno           4    2    6
Mf Cédric Kenne           10    2   12     Mf Youssouf Konaté        13    1   14
Mf Muziano Doni            8    2   10     Mf Shiro Makino            8    1    9
Mf Ezequiel Araujo         8    2   10     Mf Beranger Steffen        4    2    6
Mf Erik Christiansen      11    0   11     Fw Seydou Ba              15    0   15
Fw Yahia El mostafa       14    0   14     Fw Curro Raya             11    1   12
Fw Sadou Moussa           10    2   12     Fw Cedric Thibeault        8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 24 70 26        ROSTER TOTALS      10 12 31 29 35    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  8  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 26 78 26         T O T A L S       10 12 31 29 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.43 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.97 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.72 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.29 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.83 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.12 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.85 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.78 (no red card)

Mf Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.16 (no red card)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.74 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.92 (no red card)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wilfried Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.52 (no red card)

Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card)

Df Jules Giguere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.72 (no red card)

Df Fernando Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.54 (no red card)

Df Carlos Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.6 (no red card)

Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.1 (no red card)

Mf Shiro Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.42 (no red card)

Mf Beranger Steffen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.41 (no red card)

Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.81 (no red card)

Fw Curro Raya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.2 (no red card)

Fw Cedric Thibeault: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 27.34 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.07 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.14 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.89 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.12 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.1 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.89 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.66 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Wilfried Kenne: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 62.4 (no injury) 
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.38 (no injury) 
Df Jules Giguere: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.69 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.67 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.01 (no injury) 
Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.83 (no injury) 
Mf Shiro Makino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.43 (no injury) 
Mf Beranger Steffen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.0 (no injury) 
Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.74 (no injury) 
Fw Curro Raya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.63 (no injury) 
Fw Cedric Thibeault: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Wilfried Kenne SL 8

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Seydou Ba SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             14   0  26  78  26
  Leicester City FC        10  12  31  29  35

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 31)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 25 ((78 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 33.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 19.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 82.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 37.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Mf Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        10  12  31  29  35
  Derby County             14   0  26  78  26

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 5 (35 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 78) / 2;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((31 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Jules Giguere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Fernando Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Curro Raya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Curro Raya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Curro Raya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 4  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 3
 
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