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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Sheffield United
James Bucknall
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           10    2   12     Gk Miljenko Sucic         16    1   17
Sw Roman Müller           11    2   13     Sw Raichi Nakamura        13    2   15
Df Festus Abubakar        13    2   15     Df Ivan Rakitic           13    2   15
Df Joe Wilson             12    2   14     Df André Ricken           12    2   14
Df Ricardo Vogado         10    2   12     Df David Vega             11    1   12
Mf Óscar Cota             13    2   15     Mf Ismaila Aminu          13    2   15
Mf Mario Pletikosa         9    2   11     Mf Ciriaco Bickel         10    2   12
Mf Clement Harouna         8    2   10     Fw Samuel Agbo            18    2   20
Fw Olivier Havet          14    2   16     Fw Pablo Ryan             12    2   14
Fw Bassem Mkademi         13    2   15     Fw Nestor Machado         11    2   13
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      10    2   12     Fw Aidan Brown             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 41 36 43        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 41 27 57    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 13 41 38 50         T O T A L S       17 15 41 27 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.16 (no red card)

Sw Roman Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.01 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.29 (no red card)

Df Joe Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no red card)

Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.66 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.95 (no second yellow)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.62 (no red card)

Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.03 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.86 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.6 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.94 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.6 (no red card)

Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.71 (no red card)

Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.06 (no red card)

Df André Ricken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.23 (no second yellow)

Df David Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.37 (no red card)

Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.21 (no red card)

Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.31 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.28 (no red card)

Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.76 (no red card)

Fw Nestor Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.11 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.86 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.08 (no injury) 
Sw Roman Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.79 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.02 (no injury) 
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.67 (no injury) 
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.64 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.21 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.34 (no injury) 
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.07 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.86 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.3 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.51 (no injury) 
Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.93 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.21 (no injury) 
Df André Ricken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.45 (no injury) 
Df David Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.59 (no injury) 
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.18 (no injury) 
Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.81 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.81 (no injury) 
Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.55 (no injury) 
Fw Nestor Machado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.05 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Olivier Havet SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 16

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Samuel Agbo SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  13  41  38  50
  Sheffield United         17  15  41  27  57

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 9 (50 - 41); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((38 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         17  15  41  27  57
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  13  41  38  50

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 16 (57 - 41); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 52.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
This will be tough with a 4 game session for us
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/08 - 9:19 AM  
Cautious Carl at home — systematic, low risk, and allergic to trophies. Sheffield United will probably just walk through the door he forgot to lock.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/08 - 6:30 PM  
Need to start picking up the points.
James (Sheffield United) 06/13 - 7:24 AM  
 
 
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