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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            14    2   16     Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18
Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17     Sw Bryn Gough             14    2   16
Df Dragan Jedjav          14    1   15     Df Nestor Omlin           13    2   15
Df Tobias Damish          13    1   14     Df Alan Matuidi           11    2   13
Df Chad Moore             13    1   14     Df Leonardo Marino        10    2   12
Mf Shoji Tanaka           14    1   15     Mf Khaled Balhadj         12    0   12
Mf Cédric Kamga           13    1   14     Mf Daniel Kelly           10    1   11
Mf Geert De Ketelaere     10    2   12     Fw Si-Won Min-woo         13    2   15
Fw Lilian Cazenave        13    2   15     Fw Syam Arfaoui           13    0   13
Fw Michael Lagerbäck      13    1   14     Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    0   13
Fw Jack Williams          12    2   14     Fw Evaristo Masis          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 43 41 43        ROSTER TOTALS      18 16 40 23 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 17 43 41 52         T O T A L S       18 16 40 23 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.19 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.6 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.0 (no red card)

Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.87 (no red card)

Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.82 (no red card)

Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.77 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.8 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.57 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.47 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.22 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.62 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.45 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.58 (no red card)

Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.15 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.02 (no red card)

Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.35 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.83 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.53 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.05 (no second yellow)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.14 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.04 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.52 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.03 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.09 (no injury) 
Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.75 (no injury) 
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.02 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.07 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.74 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.65 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.26 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.02 (no injury) 
Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.58 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no injury) 
Mf Khaled Balhadj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.59 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.58 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.88 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.29 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.99 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nestor Omlin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             16  17  43  41  52
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  16  40  23  51

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 12 (52 - 40); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((41 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Shoji Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  16  40  23  51
  Brentford FC             16  17  43  41  52

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 8 (51 - 43); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
We're going to hopefully steal a point away.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/22 - 2:42 AM
Rob was right, well done. Our Bees could not find the net...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/22 - 10:02 PM
That 41 MF rating almost did us in. Well played Al.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/29 - 1:54 AM
 
 
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