(H)

Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay

Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC TRANMERE ROVERS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Mohammed Zakari 16 2 18 Sw Walter Olivera 16 2 18 Sw Santiago Ramos 16 2 18 Df Hayden Goodwin 17 2 19 Df Martin Morales 11 2 13 Df Eliecer Gutierrez 12 2 14 Df Zac McGree 11 2 13 Df Abdul Otu 11 2 13 Mf Hans Cornelius 10 2 12 Df Joel Calvo 10 1 11 Mf Ilija Pjaca 10 1 11 Mf Arthur Goodwin 14 2 16 Fw Robbie Murphy 15 2 17 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 10 2 12 Fw Valentyn Shulga 17 2 19 Fw Eduardo Luna 14 2 16 Fw Chibuikem Thomas 11 2 13 Fw Geovanny Arley 10 1 11 Fw Sebastian Zielinski 10 2 12 Fw Atsushi Morioka 8 2 10 Fw Kwadwo Djiku 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 19 18 57 28 37 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 26 23 71 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 18 57 28 46 T O T A L S 21 18 26 24 71 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.9 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.78 (no red card) Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.91 (no red card) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.71 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.94 (no second yellow) Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.24 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.39 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.99 (no second yellow) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.73 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.78 (no red card) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.85 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.49 (no red card) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 2 Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.3 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 77.66 (no red card) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.69 (no red card) Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.81 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.54 (no second yellow) Df Zac McGree: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.06 (no red card) Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.32 (no red card) Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.72 (no red card) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.07 (no red card) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.32 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.09 (no second yellow) Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.18 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.43 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!) Chibuikem Thomas new match skill level = 6 Chibuikem Thomas new match total level = 8 Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.77 (no red card) Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.29 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 88.88 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 47.15 (no injury) Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.52 (no injury) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.43 (no injury) Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.18 (no injury) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.0 (no injury) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no injury) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 3 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.42 (no injury) Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.53 (no injury) Df Zac McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.25 (no injury) Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.74 (no injury) Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.87 (no injury) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.03 (no injury) Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.39 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17 - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 17 - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17 intRndPk = 19 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 19 18 57 28 46 Tranmere Rovers 21 18 26 24 66 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 20 (46 - 26); result rounded up Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 66) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 23.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tranmere Rovers 21 18 26 24 66 Preston North End FC 19 18 57 28 46 Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 9 (66 - 57); result rounded up Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - TRANMERE ROVERS 0
Match Notes

Only one of these teams is in contention for the league title this year, and that is Alon's team.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/25 - 2:58 PM

Who would have guessed?
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/26 - 5:47 PM

Big match for my new found friend Ian
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/27 - 1:00 PM

These two managers do not like each other...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/27 - 9:57 PM

Is it possible for both teams to lose?
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/28 - 3:56 PM