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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19     Gk Mohammed Zakari        16    2   18
Sw Walter Olivera         16    2   18     Sw Santiago Ramos         16    2   18
Df Hayden Goodwin         17    2   19     Df Martin Morales         11    2   13
Df Eliecer Gutierrez      12    2   14     Df Zac McGree             11    2   13
Df Abdul Otu              11    2   13     Mf Hans Cornelius         10    2   12
Df Joel Calvo             10    1   11     Mf Ilija Pjaca            10    1   11
Mf Arthur Goodwin         14    2   16     Fw Robbie Murphy          15    2   17
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait        10    2   12     Fw Valentyn Shulga        17    2   19
Fw Eduardo Luna           14    2   16     Fw Chibuikem Thomas       11    2   13
Fw Geovanny Arley         10    1   11     Fw Sebastian Zielinski    10    2   12
Fw Atsushi Morioka         8    2   10     Fw Kwadwo Djiku            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 18 57 28 37        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 26 23 71    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 57 28 46         T O T A L S       21 18 26 24 71    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.78 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.91 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.94 (no second yellow)

Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.24 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.99 (no second yellow)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.73 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.78 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.85 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.49 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 77.66 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.69 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.54 (no second yellow)

Df Zac McGree: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.06 (no red card)

Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.32 (no red card)

Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.72 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.07 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.09 (no second yellow)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.43 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Chibuikem Thomas new match skill level =  6
      Chibuikem Thomas new match total level =  8

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.77 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 88.88 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 47.15 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.52 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.43 (no injury) 
Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.18 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.0 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 3
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.42 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.53 (no injury) 
Df Zac McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.25 (no injury) 
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.74 (no injury) 
Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.87 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.03 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.39 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     19  18  57  28  46
  Tranmere Rovers          21  18  26  24  66

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 20 (46 - 26); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 23.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          21  18  26  24  66
  Preston North End FC     19  18  57  28  46

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 9 (66 - 57); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 0
 
Match Notes
Only one of these teams is in contention for the league title this year, and that is Alon's team.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/25 - 2:58 PM
Who would have guessed?
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/26 - 5:47 PM
Big match for my new found friend Ian
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/27 - 1:00 PM
These two managers do not like each other...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/27 - 9:57 PM
Is it possible for both teams to lose?
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/28 - 3:56 PM
 
 
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