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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko    15    2   17     Gk Sung Ban-suk            7    2    9
Sw Ronal Castro            7    2    9     Sw Jun-Yeong Tae-yong      7    2    9
Df Goronwy Wright         12    2   14     Df Sebastien Barbet       13    0   13
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda       11    2   13     Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen       7    2    9
Df Genki Suzuki            3    2    5     Df Francisco DaSilva       3    2    5
Mf Alberto Leao           14    2   16     Mf Arona Baldé            14    0   14
Mf Cadwaladr Harding       7    2    9     Mf Artur Zielinski         7    2    9
Fw Sven Skog              17    2   19     Mf Martin Muñoz            3    2    5
Fw Younes Regragui        13    2   15     Fw Luiz Fabinho           15    0   15
Fw Benjamin Tchato         7    2    9     Fw Mehdi Kounde            7    2    9
Fw Miguel Alves            3    2    5     Fw Iori Green              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  9 32 25 48        ROSTER TOTALS       9  9 27 28 29    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  9 32 25 57         T O T A L S        9  9 27 28 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 60.32 (no red card)

Sw Ronal Castro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.32 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.9 (no red card)

Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.97 (no red card)

Df Genki Suzuki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.67 (no red card)

Mf Alberto Leao: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.26 (no red card)

Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.51 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.68 (no red card)

Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.58 (no red card)

Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.51 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.29 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sung Ban-suk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.64 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Yeong Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card)

Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.59 (no red card)

Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.75 (no red card)

Df Francisco DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.3 (no red card)

Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.74 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zielinski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.46 (no red card)

Mf Martin Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.78 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.44 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Kounde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.7 (no red card)

Fw Iori Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.27 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 11.86 (no injury) 
Sw Ronal Castro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.31 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.17 (no injury) 
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.14 (no injury) 
Df Genki Suzuki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.97 (no injury) 
Mf Alberto Leao: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.36 (no injury) 
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.28 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.99 (no injury) 
Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.23 (no injury) 
Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.62 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Sung Ban-suk: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.83 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Yeong Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.24 (no injury) 
Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.16 (no injury) 
Df Asbjorn Ludvigsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.65 (no injury) 
Df Francisco DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.64 (no injury) 
Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.22 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.69 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Muñoz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.33 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.69 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Kounde: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.25 (no injury) 
Fw Iori Green: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.74 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Sung Ban-suk SL 7

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luiz Fabinho SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 21 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18   9  32  25  57
  Dagenham & Redbridge     9   9  27  28  29

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (57 - 27); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((32 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Genki Suzuki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 15.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 10.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Miguel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Miguel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 59.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 69.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Benjamin Tchato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Miguel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     9   9  27  28  29
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18   9  32  25  57

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 32)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Arona Baldé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Artur Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 2
 
Match Notes
hoping the verdict is spot on
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/01 - 11:36 AM  
Most prob it is
Jeff (Dagenham & Redbridge) 06/01 - 3:12 PM  
Sparrowhawk needs more than luck today, Weston are no pushovers. Dagenham have the quality but they'll need grit too.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/01 - 6:30 PM  
well we are not on a lucky run right now so you never know!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/03 - 2:03 PM  
the unlucky run continues
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/07 - 11:37 AM  
 
 
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