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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Craig Carsley          15    2   17     Gk Gregory Reyna          14    2   16
Sw Walter Wilson          11    2   13     Sw Philippe Manago         7    2    9
Df Daley Hiddink          12    0   12     Df Lloyd Cole             11    0   11
Df Edoardo Vecchi          6    2    8     Df Marco Sa                7    2    9
Df Gabriele Gentiloni      3    2    5     Df Nicola Panucci          3    2    5
Mf Clint Smith            13    0   13     Df Marcus Teulet          10    2   12
Mf Wayne Brees             6    2    8     Mf Marco D'amato           7    2    9
Fw Greg Rashford          17    1   18     Mf Minato Morishima        3    2    5
Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski   11    2   13     Mf John Skoras             9    1   10
Fw Anir Tahiri             6    2    8     Fw Jordan Pérez            7    2    9
Fw Bedwyr Brown            6    2    8     Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 25 21 47        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 37 24 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 13 25 21 56         T O T A L S       16  9 44 24 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.73 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.31 (no red card)

Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.54 (no red card)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.0 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.88 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.38 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.97 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.0 (no red card)

Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.97 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.19 (no red card)

Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.41 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.94 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.63 (no red card)

Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.95 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.01 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.45 (no red card)

Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.85 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.77 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.33 (no red card)

Mf John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.1 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.48 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.37 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.82 (no injury) 
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.83 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.97 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.11 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.47 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.18 (no injury) 
Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.7 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.65 (no injury) 
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.59 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.27 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.73 (no injury) 
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.67 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.87 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Marco Sa is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marco Sa new match skill level =  4
      Marco Sa new match total level =  6
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.68 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.68 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.87 (no injury) 
Mf John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Greg Rashford SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 14

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lloyd Cole SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      17  13  25  21  56
  Carlisle United          16   9  41  24  14

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (56 - 41); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((25 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 42.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Edoardo Vecchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 63.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Anir Tahiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 0.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16   9  41  24  14
  Northampton Town FC      17  13  25  21  56

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 25)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
A must win game already
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/20 - 6:21 AM
Feeling aggrieved again
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/21 - 10:41 PM
Home game should be a banker
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/21 - 10:41 PM
That's a very lucky point.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/21 - 11:42 PM
 
 
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