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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    2   14     Gk Petro Vasylenko        16    2   18
Sw Mitsuo Soma            10    2   12     Df Roman Piatek           13    2   15
Df Herman Lambert         13    2   15     Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk     11    2   13
Df Faryd Cuadrado         12    2   14     Df Kurt Mörner            10    2   12
Df Zinedine Castex        11    2   13     Df Brian Finnan            7    2    9
Mf Vibeke Skov            12    2   14     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru          13    2   15
Mf Mats Larsson            9    2   11     Mf Damien Sullivan         7    2    9
Fw Jakub Fabianski        12    2   14     Mf Ben Goodwin             3    2    5
Fw Wladimir Groen         12    2   14     Fw Juan-Jose Cano          7    2    9
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        11    2   13     Fw Shkodran Neuville       7    2    9
Fw Vladimir Ureña          8    2   10     Fw Stewart Scholes         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 42 25 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 49 29 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 42 25 60         T O T A L S       18  0 54 31 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.61 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.45 (no red card)

Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.25 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.94 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.51 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.07 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.19 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.61 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.03 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.89 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.15 (no red card)

Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.5 (no second yellow)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.43 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.26 (no red card)

Mf Damien Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.13 (no red card)

Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.31 (no red card)

Fw Juan-Jose Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.87 (no red card)

Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.18 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 38.68 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.33 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.34 (no injury) 
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.17 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.38 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.38 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.62 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.6 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.12 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.73 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.74 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.71 (no injury) 
Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.7 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.4 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Kurt Mörner is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kurt Mörner new match skill level =  5
      Kurt Mörner new match total level =  7
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.33 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.49 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Sullivan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.41 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.24 (no injury) 
Fw Juan-Jose Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.4 (no injury) 
Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Herman Lambert SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 16

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roman Piatek SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  42  25  60
  Queens Park Rangers      18   0  49  31  23

Queens Park Rangers is using Offside Trap!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 6 (60 - 49) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 7 ((42 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Faryd Cuadrado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Faryd Cuadrado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Faryd Cuadrado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18   0  49  31  23
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  42  25  60

Queens Park Rangers is Playing For A Draw!
Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 42)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 2 ((31 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Damien Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
We're ahead in the standings. But they're a big team! It should be a great match!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/20 - 5:35 PM
 
 
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