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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Fernando Pellistri     14    2   16     Gk Samir Bouaziz           3    2    5
Sw Artur Boniek           14    1   15     Df Bradley Perry           5    2    7
Df Rodrigo de Corona      13    0   13     Df Jaap De wit             7    2    9
Df Mikkel Iversen          7    2    9     Df Alain Debast            7    1    8
Mf Henry Rowles            7    2    9     Df Joshua Partey           3    2    5
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski      7    2    9     Mf Ryan Brady              8    1    9
Fw Reimundo Almada        12   -2   10     Mf Yuriy Taran             7    2    9
Fw Jay Mitchell           12    0   12     Mf Van Gullit              6    2    8
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal         12    0   12     Mf Victor Araújo           6    2    8
Fw Ramzi Sellimi           7    2    9     Fw Takao Soma              7    2    9
Fw Erik Christiansen       7    2    9     Fw Ian Lee                 7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 22 18 52        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 29 34 18    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 22 20 60         T O T A L S        5  0 30 34 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.61 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.95 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.41 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.77 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.75 (no red card)

Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.2 (no red card)

Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.77 (no red card)

Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.47 (no second yellow)

Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.77 (no red card)

Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.77 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.34 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.61 (no red card)

Df Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.33 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.71 (no red card)

Df Alain Debast: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.39 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.9 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.64 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.62 (no red card)

Mf Van Gullit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.84 (no red card)

Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.04 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 8.33 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.11 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.63 (no injury) 
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.05 (no injury) 
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.85 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.53 (no injury) 
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.65 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 58.33 (no injury) 
Df Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.08 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.81 (no injury) 
Df Alain Debast: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.05 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.04 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury) 
Mf Van Gullit: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.43 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.03 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.92 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Brady SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             16  15  22  20  60
  Brighton & Hove Albion   5   0  30  34  18

Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 15 (60 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 2 ((22 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Rodrigo de Corona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Rodrigo de Corona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 17.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 90.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 1.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 83.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Ramzi Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Ramzi Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ramzi Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 34.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 45.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ramzi Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 17.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 69.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   5   0  30  34  18
  Derby County             16  15  22  20  60

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 22)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 7 ((34 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Van Gullit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 3  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
 
Match Notes
We never really had a chance here
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/15 - 6:09 PM
 
 
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