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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert         13    2   15     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18
Sw Cristhian Dybala       12    1   13     Sw Saul Aquino            13    2   15
Df Toshihiro Nakamura     13    2   15     Df Alain Fauché           15    1   16
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    1   14     Df Walter McGree           7    2    9
Df Jacob Beynon            7    2    9     Df Meliton Martinez        3    2    5
Mf Peter Bengtsson        13    2   15     Mf Hirving Borgetti       12    0   12
Mf Marcus Teulet           7    2    9     Mf Federico Machado        7    2    9
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      13    2   15     Fw Julien De Boeck        14    2   16
Fw Salem Bejaoui          14    2   16     Fw Hakim Aboukhlal         7    2    9
Fw Noah Zimmermann        11    0   11     Fw Valerio Paredes         7    2    9
Fw Javier Gimenez          7    2    9     Fw Claudio Prado           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 38 24 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 30 21 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 13 38 32 56         T O T A L S       18 18 34 21 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.0 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.63 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.16 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.23 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.8 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.38 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.47 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.75 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.53 (no red card)

Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.98 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.72 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.68 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.15 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.67 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.6 (no red card)

Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.28 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.63 (no second yellow)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.04 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.94 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.59 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.75 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.41 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.54 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.45 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.3 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.03 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.49 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.74 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.51 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.41 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no injury) 
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.35 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.2 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.2 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.46 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.57 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.7 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Claudio Prado is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Claudio Prado new match skill level =  2
      Claudio Prado new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Salem Bejaoui SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 13

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  13  38  32  56
  Watford                  18  18  34  21  38

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 22 (56 - 34); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  18  34  21  38
  Carlisle United          15  13  38  32  56

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 38)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  WATFORD 0
 
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