(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman 14 2 16 Gk Thomas Anderson 12 2 14
Sw Édouard Gning 15 2 17 Sw Mitsuo Soma 16 0 16
Df Moez Mhedhebi 12 1 13 Df Mamoru Morishima 10 1 11
Df Nour Zaroury 10 2 12 Df Herman Lambert 7 2 9
Df Martin Persson 7 2 9 Df Zinedine Castex 3 2 5
Mf Freddie Cockham 13 1 14 Mf Ndiaga Mané 11 1 12
Mf Noah Martinez 7 2 9 Mf Vibeke Skov 7 2 9
Fw Óscar Vargas 13 1 14 Fw Curtis Carr 18 2 20
Fw Paul Dumont 12 2 14 Fw Wladimir Groen 7 2 9
Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14 Fw Jakub Fabianski 7 2 9
Fw Atef Omar 7 2 9 Fw Vladimir Ureña 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 17 34 23 51 ROSTER TOTALS 14 16 25 21 43
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 17 34 23 60 T O T A L S 16 16 25 21 43
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.2 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.63 (no red card)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.13 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.3 (no second yellow)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.25 (no red card)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.31 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.49 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.4 (no red card)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.69 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.62 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.88 (no red card)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.88 (no red card)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.69 (no red card)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.61 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.48 (no red card)
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.68 (no red card)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.02 (no red card)
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.56 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.81 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.98 (no red card)
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.28 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.84 (no injury)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.85 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.16 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.99 (no injury)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.43 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.94 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.9 (no injury)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.75 (no injury)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.75 (no injury)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.3 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.38 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.87 (no injury)
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.67 (no injury)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.23 (no injury)
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.65 (no injury)
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.3 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Freddie Cockham SL 13
- Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 18
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 14
intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 16 17 34 23 60
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 16 25 21 43
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 35 (60 - 25); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 36
1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 25.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 94.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 42.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 0.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 34.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 16 25 21 43
Nottingham Forest 16 17 34 23 60
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 9 (43 - 34); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 23.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 53.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
Match Notes
Forest has 22 wins, we only 8, so we need to win this one.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/14 - 3:22 PM
Our keeper played very well, but we should have scored at least one goal.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/20 - 2:44 PM