(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Alonso Lopez 16 2 18 Gk Alberto Flores 16 -1 15
Sw Glen Clarke 15 2 17 Df Reece Gregory 14 2 16
Df Manuel Ortiz 12 2 14 Df Mario Rojas 13 2 15
Df Vincent Hamidou 11 2 13 Df Cadwaladr Lewis 11 2 13
Df Mauricio López 7 2 9 Df Eugene Goodwin 7 2 9
Mf Claes Östberg 11 2 13 Mf Steven Simons 13 2 15
Mf Randall Navarrete 15 2 17 Mf Isaac Semenyo 11 2 13
Fw Cássio Lemos 14 2 16 Df Tyler Page 9 2 11
Fw Rónald Aguilera 11 2 13 Fw Armand Songo'o 13 2 15
Fw Kenzie McDonald 11 2 13 Fw Dafydd Chapman 11 2 13
Fw Jamie Behich 7 2 9 Fw John Jackson 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 36 30 51 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 64 28 44
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0
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21 17 36 30 60 T O T A L S 15 0 64 35 44
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 87.39 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.31 (no red card)
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.94 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.77 (no red card)
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.49 (no red card)
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.55 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.38 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.73 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.35 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.7 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.98 (no red card)
Df Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.79 (no red card)
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.46 (no red card)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.94 (no red card)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.48 (no red card)
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.22 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.19 (no red card)
Df Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.31 (no red card)
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.56 (no red card)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.14 (no red card)
Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.83 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 0.36 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Alonso Lopez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.32 (no injury)
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.73 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.76 (no injury)
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.07 (no injury)
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.35 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.43 (no injury)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.38 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.08 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 90.78 (no injury)
Df Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.48 (no injury)
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.42 (no injury)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.55 (no injury)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.64 (no injury)
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.77 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.35 (no injury)
Df Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.31 (no injury)
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.0 (no injury)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.47 (no injury)
Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.93 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15
- Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 16
intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Reece Gregory SL 14
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 17 36 30 60
Bristol City FC 15 0 64 35 44
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (60 - 64)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 15 0 64 35 44
Southend United 21 17 36 30 60
Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 4 (44 - 36) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((35 - 30) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((64 - 60) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Tyler Page
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw John Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0 - BRISTOL CITY FC 0
Match Notes
Colin tends to have my number. Not expecting much from this game.
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/08 - 9:38 PM
Mind games? SU have won just once in the last six meetings.
Colin (Southend United) 06/12 - 2:34 PM
But this is a home game so a must win for SU.
Colin (Southend United) 06/12 - 2:35 PM
Draw seems a fair result.
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/15 - 7:06 PM
Zero attacks. Not a good look.
Colin (Southend United) 06/16 - 10:47 AM