(H)

Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay

Watford
James Tucker
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Mads Frost 7 2 9 Df Tjoris Dumfried 9 2 11 Sw Nico Lehmann 3 2 5 Df Hayden Goodwin 17 2 19 Df Florian Ramelow 12 0 12 Df Joel Calvo 10 1 11 Df Keita Hattori 10 1 11 Df Harry Martyn 7 2 9 Df Meliton Martinez 8 2 10 Mf Arthur Goodwin 13 2 15 Df Felipe Pérez 8 2 10 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 10 2 12 Df Shoichi Morita 7 2 9 Mf Issa Daouda 7 2 9 Mf Callum Rowles 7 2 9 Fw Victor Pino 7 2 9 Mf Oliwer Säfström 3 2 5 Fw Atsushi Morioka 7 2 9 Fw Djonno De boer 7 0 7 Fw Gustavo da Rocha 3 2 5 Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 3 1 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 19 0 50 36 23 ROSTER TOTALS 9 5 52 14 11 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0 ======================================================================= 19 0 50 36 32 T O T A L S 9 5 52 21 13 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.83 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.44 (no red card) Df Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.82 (no red card) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.61 (no red card) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.72 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.31 (no red card) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.26 (no red card) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.56 (no red card) Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.94 (no red card) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.93 (no red card) Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.48 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.48 (no second yellow) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.7 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.76 (no red card) Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.2 (no red card) Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.32 (no red card) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.86 (no red card) Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.89 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.71 (no red card) Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.28 (no red card) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.99 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.44 (no second yellow) Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.49 (no red card) Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.18 (no red card) Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.98 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.26 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 87.5 (no injury) Df Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.22 (no injury) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.01 (no injury) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.43 (no injury) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.77 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.55 (no injury) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.31 (no injury) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.82 (no injury) Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.88 (no injury) Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.6 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 2 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 70.51 (no injury) Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.7 (no injury) Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.55 (no injury) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.99 (no injury) Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.07 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.3 (no injury) Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.07 (no injury) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.72 (no injury) Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.0 (no injury) Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.11 (no injury) Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.95 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17 - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Florian Ramelow SL 12 - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17 intRndPk = 38 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 19 0 50 36 32 Watford 9 5 52 21 13 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 52) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((36 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 8 ((50 - 13) / 5); result rounded up Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 16 1: Attack for Df Joel Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Tjoris Dumfried Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Tjoris Dumfried Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Harry Martyn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 71.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Df Joel Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 69.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 59.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 9 5 52 21 13 Preston North End FC 19 0 50 36 32 Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap! Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 50) Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 4 ((52 - 32) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Total Attacks = 4 1: Attack for Df Florian Ramelow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 88.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Florian Ramelow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 2 - WATFORD 1