(H)
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC PRESTON NORTH END FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Finlay Palmer 16 2 18 Gk Smahi Regragui 16 2 18 Sw Bryn Gough 13 2 15 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 14 2 16 Df Bassirou Mbaye 13 0 13 Df Oribe Vega 17 2 19 Df Alan Matuidi 11 2 13 Df Miguel Torres 7 2 9 Df Robert Bak 3 2 5 Fw Miguel López 11 2 13 Mf Jorge Perez 12 2 14 Mf Leif Andersen 10 2 12 Mf Oscar Bremer 7 2 9 Mf Arthur Goodwin 7 2 9 Fw Syam Arfaoui 13 0 13 Fw Eduardo Luna 10 2 12 Fw Nenad Kovtun 13 0 13 Fw Raphaël Mayeux 7 2 9 Fw Charles Sweeney 16 0 16 Fw Šime Sucic 7 2 9 Fw Luis Calvo 9 2 11 Fw Pol Ruiz 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 15 31 23 53 ROSTER TOTALS 18 16 28 21 48 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 15 31 23 62 T O T A L S 18 16 28 21 48 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.6 (no red card) Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.57 (no red card) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.34 (no red card) Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.57 (no red card) Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.6 (no red card) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.86 (no red card) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.58 (no red card) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.25 (no red card) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.19 (no red card) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.23 (no red card) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.02 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.68 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.62 (no red card) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.53 (no red card) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.1 (no red card) Fw Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.53 (no red card) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.45 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Leif Andersen new match skill level = 5 Leif Andersen new match total level = 7 Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.02 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.83 (no red card) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.36 (no red card) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.78 (no red card) Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.76 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.19 (no injury) Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.02 (no injury) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.78 (no injury) Df Alan Matuidi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.03 (no injury) Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.61 (no injury) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.81 (no injury) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.98 (no injury) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.31 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no injury) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.17 (no injury) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 38.0 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.3 (no injury) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.73 (no injury) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no injury) Fw Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.18 (no injury) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.34 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.91 (no injury) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.71 (no injury) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.24 (no injury) Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.86 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16 intRndPk = 6 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16 intRndPk = 71 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 18 15 31 23 62 Preston North End FC 18 16 28 16 48 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 34 (62 - 28); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((23 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 48) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 38 1: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 100.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 30: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 32: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 33: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 37: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 18 16 28 16 48 Plymouth Argyle FC 18 15 31 23 62 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 17 (48 - 31); result rounded up Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 23) / 2; rounded up) Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 62) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 17 1: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
Match Notes
We have a long way to go to get this back to .500. Hopefully we can take a step forward here today.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/15 - 3:32 PM
That's just rude... we get twice as many attacks, and half as many goals.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/17 - 4:18 PM