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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Sheffield United
James Bucknall
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andres Ruiz             7    2    9     Gk Miljenko Sucic         15    1   16
Sw David Lemaigre          7    2    9     Sw Raichi Nakamura        12    2   14
Df Nick Jacobs            10    2   12     Df Ivan Rakitic           13    1   14
Df Gregory Robinson       10    0   10     Df André Ricken           12    2   14
Mf Artur Zalewski         10    1   11     Df David Vega             11    1   12
Mf Ricardo Salcedo         7    2    9     Df Abdou Mballo           10    1   11
Mf Antonio Muñoz           3    1    4     Mf Ismaila Aminu          13    1   14
Fw Gustavo Pavon          10    0   10     Mf Ciriaco Bickel         10    2   12
Fw Libardo Uribe           7    2    9     Fw Samuel Agbo            17    2   19
Fw Jean Diouf              7    2    9     Fw Nestor Machado         11    2   13
Fw Eddy Perez              6    2    8     Fw Pablo Ryan             10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  9 22 24 36        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 51 26 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  9 22 24 45         T O T A L S       16 14 51 26 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.05 (no red card)

Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.23 (no red card)

Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.53 (no red card)

Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.07 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.72 (no red card)

Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.0 (no red card)

Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.8 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.45 (no red card)

Fw Libardo Uribe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.57 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.48 (no red card)

Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.82 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.05 (no red card)

Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.03 (no second yellow)

Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.56 (no red card)

Df André Ricken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.71 (no red card)

Df David Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.34 (no second yellow)

Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.23 (no red card)

Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.75 (no red card)

Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.12 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.2 (no red card)

Fw Nestor Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.51 (no red card)

Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.23 (no injury) 
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.66 (no injury) 
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.09 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.88 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.26 (no injury) 
Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no injury) 
Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.27 (no injury) 
Fw Libardo Uribe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.09 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.63 (no injury) 
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.45 (no injury) 
Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.08 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.28 (no injury) 
Df André Ricken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.95 (no injury) 
Df David Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.9 (no injury) 
Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.34 (no injury) 
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.07 (no injury) 
Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.17 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.61 (no injury) 
Fw Nestor Machado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.6 (no injury) 
Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nick Jacobs SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 15

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Samuel Agbo SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Andres Ruiz SL 7

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          9   9  22  24  45
  Sheffield United         16  14  51  26  43

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 51)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         16  14  51  26  43
  Cardiff City FC          9   9  22  24  45

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 21 (43 - 22); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 2 ((51 - 45) / 3); result rounded up
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ismaila Aminu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 68.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 86.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 14.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 58.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 93.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 41.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Pablo Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 0  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 3
 
Match Notes
4 draws in the past 6 matches could this be. Draw
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 05/23 - 7:42 PM  
Cardiff never know if they're coming or going — Wilkes knows it himself. Sheffield United will fancy this.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/25 - 6:30 PM  
Cardiff at home, Sheffield United visiting. Wilkes will have a plan, naturally — whether Cardiff remember it by kick-off is the more interesting variable.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/27 - 6:30 PM  
Please not another draw.
James (Sheffield United) 05/30 - 2:14 PM  
 
 
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