(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dylan De boer 15 2 17 Gk Francis Dijkstra 2 2 4
Sw Pablo Odriozola 13 2 15 Sw Haris Seferovic 8 1 9
Df Eddy Chadli 10 1 11 Df Maciek Szymanski 9 0 9
Df Jerome De Ketelaere 11 1 12 Df Mats Krafth 7 2 9
Df Sven Thoren 11 0 11 Mf Francois Fournier 12 0 12
Df Meliton López 6 2 8 Mf Muhammed Kwadwo 11 1 12
Mf Alan Herdman 13 0 13 Mf Balla Diouf 9 1 10
Mf Charlie Maclaren 6 2 8 Mf Luke Phillips 7 2 9
Fw Adam Vasilev 15 0 15 Fw Lance James 11 2 13
Fw Ayrton Chamot 6 2 8 Fw Ye-jun Ji 10 2 12
Fw Gorgui Sall 3 2 5 Fw Ben Hamadou 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 15 42 21 28 ROSTER TOTALS 4 9 18 43 34
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 42 21 37 T O T A L S 4 9 18 43 34
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 33.82 (no red card)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.71 (no red card)
Df Eddy Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.54 (no red card)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.16 (no red card)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.38 (no red card)
Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.47 (no red card)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.47 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.97 (no second yellow)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.45 (no red card)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.91 (no red card)
Fw Gorgui Sall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.44 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Francis Dijkstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.11 (no red card)
Sw Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.88 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.27 (no second yellow)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.07 (no red card)
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.1 (no red card)
Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.53 (no red card)
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.58 (no red card)
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Balla Diouf new match skill level = 5
Balla Diouf new match total level = 6
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.07 (no red card)
Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.1 (no red card)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.31 (no red card)
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 29.09 (no injury)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.83 (no injury)
Df Eddy Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.08 (no injury)
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.66 (no injury)
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.55 (no injury)
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.25 (no injury)
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.29 (no injury)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.88 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.06 (no injury)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury)
Fw Gorgui Sall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.81 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Francis Dijkstra: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.2 (no injury)
Sw Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.93 (no injury)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.49 (no injury)
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.75 (no injury)
Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.32 (no injury)
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.14 (no injury)
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.93 (no injury)
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.28 (no injury)
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.54 (no injury)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.19 (no injury)
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.11 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
- Defending Gk: Francis Dijkstra SL 2
intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Francois Fournier SL 12
- Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 18 15 42 21 37
Brentford FC 4 9 18 39 34
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 19 (37 - 18); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 3 ((42 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Df Eddy Chadli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Sven Thoren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 68.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Gorgui Sall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 60.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 64.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 49.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Gorgui Sall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 21.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Gorgui Sall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 6.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 4 9 18 39 34
Port Vale FC 18 15 42 21 37
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 42)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((39 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 37) / 3; rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Balla Diouf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Balla Diouf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Francois Fournier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Balla Diouf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Francois Fournier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 4 - BRENTFORD FC 1
Match Notes
Well well we meet again
John (Port Vale FC) 05/23 - 10:37 PM
Sellers taking his mob to Vale Park. Tough ground, tough crowd. Let's see if Brentford's got the stomach for it.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/25 - 6:30 PM
Allan taking Brentford to Vale Park. Straightforward on paper, though Port Vale tend to make things uncomfortable at home. We'll see if his setup accounts for that.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/27 - 6:30 PM
Hmmm...we are -3 in this fixture overall. Looks like a long day for our Bees...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/27 - 11:39 PM
No chance today against Port Vale. Well done John!
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/30 - 7:18 PM