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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alex M'Boma            13    0   13     Gk Logan McKennie         11   -2    9
Sw Jun-Seo Min            13    1   14     Sw Esteban Martin         10    2   12
Df Guy Herpoel            10    2   12     Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15
Df Sebastien Barbet        7    2    9     Df Tobias Kimmich         12    2   14
Mf Gareth Smith           13    0   13     Df Grégory Lloris          9    2   11
Mf Lyn Rogers              7    2    9     Df Sim Young-gwon          7    2    9
Fw Kwame Karikari         13   -2   11     Mf Nazariy Gusak          12    2   14
Fw Clement Kenne          15    0   15     Mf Dragan Shvets           7    2    9
Fw David Dziekanowski     12    0   12     Mf Anthony Brees           6    2    8
Fw Haris Streller          9    1   10     Fw Aaron Jones            14    2   16
Fw Luiz Fabinho            7    2    9     Fw Teun Van der berg      12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 21 22 57        ROSTER TOTALS       9 12 49 31 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 22 22 66         T O T A L S       12 13 49 31 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.19 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.4 (no second yellow)

Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.15 (no red card)

Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.13 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)

Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.6 (no red card)

Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.71 (no red card)

Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.48 (no red card)

Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.73 (no red card)

Fw Haris Streller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.66 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.37 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 69.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 18.53 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 19.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.59 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 54.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.32 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.32 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 37.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 63.68 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 0.6 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Sim Young-gwon new match skill level =  4
      Sim Young-gwon new match total level =  6

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 40.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 49.29 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 32.51 (no red card)

Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 86.87 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.26 (no second yellow)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 27.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 29.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.07 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 4.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jun-Seo Min is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.81 (no injury) 
Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 4.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Sebastien Barbet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sebastien Barbet new match skill level =  4
      Sebastien Barbet new match total level =  6
Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 87.89 (no injury) 
Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 95.65 (no injury) 
Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 29.43 (no injury) 
Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 61.79 (no injury) 
Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 60.46 (no injury) 
Fw Haris Streller: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 23.35 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 0.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Luiz Fabinho is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Luiz Fabinho new match skill level =  4
      Luiz Fabinho new match total level =  6

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 3.39 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.44 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Andre Ngwa is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Andre Ngwa new match skill level =  7
      Andre Ngwa new match total level =  9
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.68 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.03 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.05 (no injury) 
Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.16 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.75 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Clement Kenne SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alex M'Boma SL 13

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  14  19  22  63
  Dorchester Town          12  13  40  31  30

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 23 (63 - 40); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 93.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 83.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 79.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          12  13  40  31  30
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  14  19  22  63

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 11 (30 - 19); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 5 ((31 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 4  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 4
 
Match Notes
Hopefully we can pick up something from this match.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/08 - 4:39 PM
 
 
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