(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRISTOL CITY FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eugene Vasilev 13 1 14 Gk Dani Cassio 13 2 15
Sw Oberto Agustini 7 2 9 Sw Alistair Robinson 6 2 8
Df Mouhamed Kamal 14 1 15 Df Marco Sa 13 0 13
Df Patrick LecLercq 11 2 13 Df Nicola Panucci 12 0 12
Df Jeppe Bach 6 2 8 Df Kyria Brozovic 6 2 8
Mf Sebastiaan Blind 14 0 14 Mf Marco D'amato 13 0 13
Mf Samim Skov 6 2 8 Mf Ousmane Laforest 6 2 8
Fw José Oliveira 13 2 15 Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 13 1 14
Fw Jacob Jones 12 2 14 Fw Jordan Pérez 15 -1 14
Fw Jacques Eto'o 11 0 11 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 1 12
Fw Thomas Williams 7 2 9 Fw Agustin Martinez 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 9 36 22 49 ROSTER TOTALS 15 8 33 21 48
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 9 36 22 58 T O T A L S 15 11 33 22 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.27 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.83 (no red card)
Sw Oberto Agustini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.5 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.78 (no red card)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.41 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.78 (no second yellow)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.33 (no red card)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.04 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.43 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.9 (no red card)
Fw Jacques Eto'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.61 (no red card)
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.02 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.12 (no red card)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.37 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.62 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.96 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.38 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.12 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.32 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.23 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.54 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.59 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury)
Sw Oberto Agustini: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.46 (no injury)
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.62 (no injury)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.81 (no injury)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.19 (no injury)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.71 (no injury)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.15 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.33 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.55 (no injury)
Fw Jacques Eto'o: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.82 (no injury)
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.45 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.97 (no injury)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.59 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.45 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.33 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.82 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.31 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.71 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.33 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Jordan Pérez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.94 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.33 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mouhamed Kamal SL 14
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 13
intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 14 9 36 22 58
Carlisle United 15 11 33 22 48
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 25 (58 - 33); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 36.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 23.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 15 11 33 22 48
Bristol City FC 14 9 36 22 58
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 12 (48 - 36); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 27.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 96.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3 - CARLISLE UNITED 1
Match Notes
Halpin flying in from New Jersey to watch Bristol City host Carlisle — quite the commute for a Division 2 fixture. Carlisle will be organised. Whether Jason remembers which division he's managing in is the real uncertainty.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ May 27 (Coventry City)
Olmec Marcus is right. We have no idea which end is up at the moment.
~ Jason ~ May 30 (Bristol City FC)
A much needed home victory.
~ Jason ~ Jun 6 (Bristol City FC)