(H)
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LINCOLN CITY FC WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mousa Boffin 14 1 15 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Sw Jakob Petersen 13 1 14 Sw Saul Aquino 12 2 14 Df Hans Murphy 12 1 13 Df Felipe Pérez 12 1 13 Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan 6 2 8 Df Waldemar Skoras 11 2 13 Df Percy Triggs 6 0 6 Df Walter McGree 6 2 8 Mf Aliou Sow 10 1 11 Df Meliton Martinez 3 2 5 Mf Babou Kebe 6 2 8 Mf Dennis Olsen 11 0 11 Fw Sérgio da Rocha 13 0 13 Mf Federico Machado 6 2 8 Fw Marcel M'Boma 12 0 12 Mf Seth Sibley 3 2 5 Fw Vieira Mario 11 1 12 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 7 2 9 Fw Owen Jones 6 2 8 Fw Valerio Paredes 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 14 27 19 45 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 39 24 18 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 2 5 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 14 27 19 54 T O T A L S 18 16 45 24 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.24 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.55 (no red card) Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.38 (no red card) Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.33 (no red card) Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.91 (no red card) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.29 (no red card) Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.82 (no red card) Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.61 (no red card) Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.2 (no red card) Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.43 (no red card) Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.49 (no red card) Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.5 (no red card) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.05 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.0 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.16 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.05 (no red card) Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.25 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.71 (no red card) Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.25 (no red card) Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.37 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.08 (no red card) Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.9 (no red card) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.06 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.48 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 28.93 (no injury) Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.94 (no injury) Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.07 (no injury) Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.42 (no injury) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.75 (no injury) Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.7 (no injury) Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.24 (no injury) Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.61 (no injury) Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.19 (no injury) Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.42 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 85.13 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.54 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.48 (no injury) Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.13 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.3 (no injury) Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.43 (no injury) Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.92 (no injury) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.72 (no injury) Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.22 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.24 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.1 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sérgio da Rocha SL 13 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 12 - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 14 intRndPk = 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lincoln City FC 15 14 27 19 54 Watford 18 16 45 24 18 Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 9 (54 - 45); result rounded up Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 24) / 2; rounded up) Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 18) / 3); result rounded up Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Hans Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Hans Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Owen Jones Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 18 16 45 24 18 Lincoln City FC 15 14 27 19 54 Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 27) Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 19) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 54) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Federico Machado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LINCOLN CITY FC 0 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
Home advantage here, but a tough opponent. Best of luck, James!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/08 - 11:38 AM