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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Carlos Ferreto          7    2    9     Gk Ian Valle               7    2    9
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  11    0   11     Sw Piotr Sobolewski       13    2   15
Mf Kwadwo Danlad          12    0   12     Df Festus Abubakar        13    1   14
Df Andrew Vaughan          7    2    9     Df Magnus Waering         12    2   14
Df Gregory Reilly          6    2    8     Df Ricardo Vogado         10    2   12
Fw Muziano Doni           14    0   14     Mf Óscar Cota             13    1   14
Mf Martin Scholes          7    2    9     Mf Clement Harouna         7    2    9
Fw Roque Ramos            13    0   13     Mf Pieter Witsel           3    2    5
Fw Donal O'Moore          11    0   11     Fw Bassem Mkademi         13    2   15
Fw Sadou Moussa           11    0   11     Fw Olivier Havet          12    2   14
Fw Jose Leao               7    2    9     Fw Kalle Ljungberg         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 11 17 21 58        ROSTER TOTALS       9 15 40 28 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 11 21 21 63         T O T A L S       12 15 40 28 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.11 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.88 (no red card)

Mf Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.57 (no red card)

Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.46 (no red card)

Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.7 (no red card)

Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.79 (no red card)

Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.98 (no red card)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.38 (no second yellow)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.68 (no red card)

Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.36 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ian Valle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.58 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.22 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.16 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.62 (no red card)

Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.27 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.88 (no red card)

Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.16 (no red card)

Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.87 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.55 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.35 (no red card)

Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.16 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.46 (no injury) 
Mf Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.88 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.45 (no injury) 
Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.23 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.02 (no injury) 
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.59 (no injury) 
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.96 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.65 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.19 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.87 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.25 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.3 (no injury) 
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.52 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no injury) 
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.54 (no injury) 
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Pieter Witsel is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Pieter Witsel new match skill level =  2
      Pieter Witsel new match total level =  4
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.86 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.91 (no injury) 
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Muziano Doni SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ian Valle SL 7

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Festus Abubakar SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 7

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             9  11  21  21  63
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  40  27  38

Derby County Fw Attacks = 23 (63 - 40); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 72.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 86.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 67.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 87.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 45.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 76.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  40  27  38
  Derby County             9  11  21  21  63

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 17 (38 - 21); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 60.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 62.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 1.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 81.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 67.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 5  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 5
 
Match Notes
One of those BIG games, for both sides
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/24 - 8:10 AM  
Checklist Carl rocking up to Pride Park with his clipboard and his caution. Derby will fancy this.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/25 - 6:30 PM  
A crowd pleaser
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/31 - 8:43 AM  
 
 
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