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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert         14    1   15     Gk Logan McKennie         11    2   13
Sw Ramires Jesus          12    2   14     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han          7    2    9
Df Toshihiro Nakamura     13   -1   12     Df Vieira Mendes          13    1   14
Df Jacob Beynon           11    1   12     Df Hugo Quintero          11    1   12
Df Eirwyn Davey            6    2    8     Df Andre Ngwa             11    1   12
Mf Marcus Teulet          11    2   13     Mf Bertus De leeuw        13    2   15
Mf Aliyu Edet              6    2    8     Mf Nazariy Gusak           7    2    9
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      15    0   15     Mf Dragan Shvets           3    2    5
Fw Javier Gimenez         11    2   13     Fw Torben Thygesen        13    2   15
Fw Javier Jimenez          9    1   10     Fw Boris Rudenko          16    2   18
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek      6    2    8     Fw Teun Van der berg       7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 14 32 21 46        ROSTER TOTALS      13  9 38 29 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  1  4  2  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 32 26 50         T O T A L S       15 12 42 31 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.55 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.63 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.03 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.28 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.36 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.2 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.61 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.49 (no red card)

Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.98 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.07 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 10.29 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 55.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.68 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 68.75 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 68.52 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 77.53 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 21.83 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 89.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.2 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 70.68 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 81.2 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 96.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 47.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.4 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 56.7 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 69.7 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 60.91 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 15.45 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 14.58 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 3.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Javier Gimenez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Javier Gimenez new match skill level =  6
      Javier Gimenez new match total level =  8
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.36 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 71.65 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.52 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.28 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.31 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.07 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.14 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.06 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.73 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Takeshi Fukunishi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  14  32  26  45
  Dorchester Town          15  12  42  31  42

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 3 (45 - 42); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          15  12  42  31  42
  Carlisle United          15  14  32  26  45

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 5 (42 - 32) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
The bottom two sides fight it out.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 01/23 - 9:17 PM
I'm sure it will be a high quality encounter.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/25 - 1:11 AM
A very tight match. A bit unlucky not to win.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 01/25 - 6:10 PM
Indeed, Andy. At least the injury isn't too bad so the "iminez" combo can return next session.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/26 - 8:10 AM
 
 
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