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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong             8    2   10     Gk Joshua Samed           11    1   12
Df Enrique Masis          13    0   13     Sw Tommy McGree           13    1   14
Df Miguel de la Cruz      11    0   11     Df Michaël Van der Heyden 11    2   13
Df Gharib Alami           10    0   10     Df Jilani Amara           11    1   12
Df Jordan Cummings         5    2    7     Df Edwin O'Doherty         6    2    8
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       10    0   10     Mf Stefan Boniek          13    1   14
Mf Khalid Idrissi          9    0    9     Mf Mario Pletikosa         6    2    8
Mf Kenneth Sani            7    1    8     Mf Thomas Robinson         6    1    7
Fw Gerry Maclaren         13    1   14     Fw Joel Zamora            13    1   14
Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    1   16
Fw Renato Cabanas         11    0   11     Fw Yusuf Kalu              9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 41 27 43        ROSTER TOTALS      12 14 33 29 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 41 27 52         T O T A L S       12 14 33 29 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.07 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.47 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.74 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.5 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.87 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.55 (no second yellow)

Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.95 (no red card)

Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.54 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.16 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.79 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.54 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.7 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.32 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.39 (no red card)

Df Jilani Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.82 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.68 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.76 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.1 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.73 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.0 (no second yellow)

Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.36 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.23 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.85 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.43 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.88 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.41 (no injury) 
Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.56 (no injury) 
Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.58 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.88 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.16 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.58 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.22 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.05 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.21 (no injury) 
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.62 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.52 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.27 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.73 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.01 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.11 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.72 (no injury) 
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 11

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 8

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  41  27  52
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  14  33  29  39

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (52 - 33); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((41 - 39) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 47.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 5.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  14  33  29  39
  Swansea City AFC         10   0  41  27  52

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 41)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
First of two visits to Swansea this session
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/05 - 8:17 AM
Lucky to get away with only a 2 goal defeat
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/12 - 7:09 AM
 
 
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