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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          14    1   15     Gk Kurt Östman            11    2   13
Sw Luca Cole              12    0   12     Sw Thiago Boniek           6    2    8
Df Sion Bowen             13    1   14     Df Pathé Sané              7    1    8
Df Boško Shpak            11    2   13     Df Martin Persson          6    2    8
Mf Albert Ohrel           13    0   13     Df Harley Mason            6    1    7
Mf Hélder Carvalho        10    1   11     Df Mbaye Dieng             2    2    4
Mf Danny Cole             10    1   11     Mf Noah Martinez           6    2    8
Mf Alain Rieder            5    2    7     Mf Abel Peeters            2    2    4
Fw Andres Gutierrez       13    1   14     Mf Bruno Freda             2    2    4
Fw Ricardo Jashari        12    0   12     Fw Atef Omar               6    2    8
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   11    1   12     Fw Keiron Chamberlain      2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 12 27 42 38        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 27 16 12    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 12 27 42 47         T O T A L S       13 11 31 16 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 43.02 (no red card)

Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no red card)

Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.9 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.87 (no red card)

Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.54 (no red card)

Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.18 (no red card)

Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.68 (no red card)

Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.97 (no red card)

Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.81 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.11 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.07 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.78 (no red card)

Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.2 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.34 (no red card)

Df Harley Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.24 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.23 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.16 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.46 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.46 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 75.48 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.02 (no injury) 
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.84 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.5 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.6 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.64 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.84 (no injury) 
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.53 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.14 (no injury) 
Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.23 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.06 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.45 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.91 (no injury) 
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.04 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.8 (no injury) 
Df Harley Mason: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.32 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.37 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.11 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.37 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.42 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.26 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sion Bowen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 11

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             16  12  27  42  47
  Nottingham Forest        13  11  31  16  12

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 16 (47 - 31); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((42 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 5 ((27 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 49.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Danny Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 6.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 26.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Ricardo Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        13  11  31  16  12
  Port Vale FC             16  12  27  42  47

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 27)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 3  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
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