(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Timothy James 15 2 17 Gk Noah Okafor 7 2 9
Sw Randall Gutiérrez 13 2 15 Sw Svend Kragh 11 0 11
Df Ado Di matteo 14 2 16 Df Mbaye Dieng 16 0 16
Df Zinedine Castex 10 2 12 Df Nicomedes Martino 12 2 14
Df Giancarlo Astua 6 2 8 Df Pieter Willems 7 2 9
Mf Mats Larsson 11 1 12 Df Rex Murphy 3 2 5
Mf Acario Finizio 10 2 12 Mf Fernando Bentancur 10 2 12
Fw Bienvenido Godoy 14 2 16 Mf Paul Simons 6 2 8
Fw Alhassan Baffoe 12 1 13 Fw Ghaith Abid 7 2 9
Fw Salvatore De luca 10 2 12 Fw Mohcine Youssef 3 2 5
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez 6 2 8 Fw Owen Chamberlain 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 15 36 24 49 ROSTER TOTALS 9 11 44 20 19
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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17 15 36 24 58 T O T A L S 9 14 48 20 19
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.15 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.09 (no red card)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.89 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.62 (no red card)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.39 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.93 (no red card)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.19 (no second yellow)
Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.07 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.33 (no second yellow)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.81 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.43 (no second yellow)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.61 (no red card)
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.1 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.74 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.53 (no red card)
Sw Svend Kragh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.02 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.46 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.75 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Nicomedes Martino new match skill level = 6
Nicomedes Martino new match total level = 8
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.05 (no red card)
Df Rex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.48 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.74 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.65 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.78 (no red card)
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.1 (no red card)
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.82 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.92 (no injury)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.71 (no injury)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.22 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.39 (no injury)
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no injury)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.14 (no injury)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no injury)
Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no injury)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.53 (no injury)
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.22 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 13.29 (no injury)
Sw Svend Kragh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.88 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.39 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.4 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.03 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Pieter Willems is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Rex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.45 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.72 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.71 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.97 (no injury)
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no injury)
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.37 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ado Di matteo SL 14
- Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 7
intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 15
intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 17 15 36 24 58
Nottingham Forest 9 14 42 20 19
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 16 (58 - 42); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((36 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 35.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Ado Di matteo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Ado Di matteo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Ado Di matteo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Ado Di matteo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 7.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 79.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 9 14 42 20 19
Oldham Athletic AFC 17 15 36 24 58
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 36)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0
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F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 4 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
Olmec Steve walking into his own rivalry fixture. Antoine will have something prepared, he usually does. Whether it's enough is the more interesting question.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/25 - 6:30 PM
Defeat is not an option against Nottingham. The rest of the season may depend on this match.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/29 - 6:19 PM
What’s reassuring is that they’re just as unlucky as we are
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/29 - 6:20 PM
We were going to lose anyway but hey let's send off a Forest who's already been suspended
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/30 - 6:16 PM