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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maciej Piechniczek     15    2   17     Gk Smahi Regragui         16    2   18
Sw Santiago Ramos         13    2   15     Df Oribe Vega             16    2   18
Df Júlio Casemiro         11    2   13     Df Miguel Torres           7    2    9
Df Gonçalo Cancelo        10    2   12     Df Joel Calvo              3    2    5
Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    2   12     Mf Miguel López           13    2   15
Mf Luis Fati               9    2   11     Mf Angus McKay            13    2   15
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    15    2   17     Mf Bahaeeddine Ait         3    2    5
Fw Granit Wicky           13    2   15     Fw Heorhiy Kozak          10    2   12
Fw Tim Scholz             16    2   18     Fw Eduardo Luna           10    2   12
Fw Valentyn Shulga        10    2   12     Fw Raphaël Mayeux          7    2    9
Fw Nathan Nabbout          9    2   11     Fw Šime Sucic              6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 25 23 73        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 32 35 41    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  3  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 26 26 78         T O T A L S       18  0 32 35 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 84.45 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.93 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.09 (no red card)

Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.57 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.76 (no second yellow)

Mf Luis Fati: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.81 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.84 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.94 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.23 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.25 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.53 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.84 (no red card)

Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.54 (no red card)

Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.84 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.69 (no second yellow)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.18 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.47 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.45 (no second yellow)

Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.9 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.52 (no red card)

Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 71.75 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.17 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.27 (no injury) 
Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.17 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Fati: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.96 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.48 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.24 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.37 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.81 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.33 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.46 (no injury) 
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.58 (no injury) 
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.5 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.22 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.89 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.62 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.02 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.99 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.48 (no injury) 
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tim Scholz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          18  15  26  26  78
  Preston North End FC     18   0  32  35  41

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 23 (78 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Nathan Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Nathan Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Nathan Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 63 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18   0  32  35  41
  Tranmere Rovers          18  15  26  26  78

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 15 (41 - 26); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((35 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 78) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 7  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
 
Match Notes
I think Mr Regragui used up all of his saves against Lewes
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/08 - 9:22 PM
Are Tranmere on course for the most goals ever scored in a season?
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/08 - 9:34 PM
 
 
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