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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18     Gk Finlay Palmer          15    2   17
Df Shay Given             10    1   11     Sw Bryn Gough             12    2   14
Df Aaron MacKay           10    0   10     Df Nestor Omlin           12    1   13
Df Marco Sibaja            6    2    8     Df Leonardo Marino        10    2   12
Df Cássio Alisson          3    2    5     Df Mohamadou Sy            7    2    9
Mf Faber Ruiz             13    1   14     Mf Tatsuo Itakura         13    0   13
Mf Henrik Kristensen      10    2   12     Mf Oscar Bremer            7    2    9
Mf Luis Jarquin            6    2    8     Fw Syam Arfaoui           13    0   13
Fw Justice Shorunmu       13    2   15     Fw Nenad Kovtun           13    0   13
Fw Juan Carlos Parra      13    1   14     Fw Charles Sweeney        16    0   16
Fw Ichiro Sakai           10    2   12     Fw Si-Won Min-woo         12    1   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 34 34 41        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 34 22 55    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 43 34 41         T O T A L S       17 14 37 22 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 69.05 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.24 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.72 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.41 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.78 (no red card)

Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.23 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.59 (no second yellow)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.52 (no red card)

Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.28 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.73 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 28.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.76 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 11.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.3 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.32 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 63.86 (no red card)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 57.38 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.8 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no second yellow)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 87.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.2 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.11 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 99.1 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.36 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 40.56 (no injury) 
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 99.79 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 10.04 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 10.13 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.67 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 12.39 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 82.61 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.27 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.74 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.73 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.69 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.7 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.56 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.77 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.17 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.55 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Faber Ruiz SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Sweeney SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19   0  43  34  41
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  14  37  22  55

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 4 (41 - 37); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((34 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 55) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Henrik Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Henrik Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Juan Carlos Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  14  37  22  55
  Lewes FC                 19   0  43  34  41

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 6 (55 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 37.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 87.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
This is a huge away match. If we're going to make a strike for the top of the table, we cannot afford to lose this match.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/08 - 1:17 AM
Big early season league play tilt.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/08 - 11:43 AM
The ONE time I play Hardness and I give up a PK?! I see teams play way worse hardness than this and suffer no bad breaks. Thanks Olmec!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/09 - 2:02 AM
At the same time, I'm pleased with a point.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/09 - 2:02 AM
 
 
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