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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          16    1   17     Gk Petro Vasylenko        13    2   15
Sw Luca Cole               7    1    8     Sw Kylian Konate          10    2   12
Df Boško Shpak            13    0   13     Df Roman Piatek           10    2   12
Df Carsten Kragelund      11    2   13     Df Hakim Aguerd           10    2   12
Df Philipp Vogel           7    2    9     Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk      6    2    8
Df Sven Thoren             3    2    5     Df Brian Finnan            3    2    5
Mf Hélder Carvalho        13    0   13     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru          10    1   11
Mf Santiago Villa          7    2    9     Mf Stjepan Grbic           6    2    8
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   14    1   15     Mf Damien Sullivan         3    2    5
Fw Filipe Alves            9    1   10     Fw Song Sun                6    2    8
Fw Adam Vasilev            6    2    8     Fw Justin Sibley           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  8 40 22 33        ROSTER TOTALS      15 12 37 24 16    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  8 40 22 42         T O T A L S       15 12 37 24 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 3.52 (no red card)

Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.7 (no second yellow)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.56 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.69 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.57 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.02 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.26 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.6 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.39 (no red card)

Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.8 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.62 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.56 (no red card)

Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.44 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.1 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.48 (no red card)

Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.84 (no red card)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.23 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.66 (no red card)

Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.7 (no red card)

Mf Damien Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.47 (no red card)

Fw Song Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no red card)

Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 0.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Hyun Tae-yong is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Hyun Tae-yong new match skill level =  8
      Hyun Tae-yong new match total level =  9
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.49 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.83 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.64 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Carsten Kragelund is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.93 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.6 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.19 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.23 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.65 (no injury) 
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.21 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.32 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 47.19 (no injury) 
Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.4 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.98 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.11 (no injury) 
Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.82 (no injury) 
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.09 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.35 (no injury) 
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.03 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Sullivan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.88 (no injury) 
Fw Song Sun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.87 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 13

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roman Piatek SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             10   8  40  22  42
  Queens Park Rangers      15  12  37  24  16

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 5 (42 - 37); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 8 ((40 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Carsten Kragelund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Carsten Kragelund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      15  12  37  24  16
  Port Vale FC             10   8  40  22  42

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 40)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
We've been very lucky against James recently. Probably won't continue.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/24 - 1:32 AM
 
 
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