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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mauricio Higuain        7    2    9     Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15
Df Ceri Kelly             11    1   12     Sw Tommy McGree           12    2   14
Df Eduardo Ortiz           9   -2    7     Df Santiago Castillo      13    1   14
Df Zacharie Ousmanou       8    0    8     Df Sion Davey             11    2   13
Df Alan Cole               7    2    9     Df Edwin O'Doherty         3    2    5
Df Hans LecLercq           7    1    8     Mf Stefan Boniek          11    2   13
Df Seny Sarr               3    2    5     Mf Jaromir Tokar           9    2   11
Mf Nasiru Kabiru          10    0   10     Mf Patrice Djemba          7    2    9
Mf Benito Apuzzo           8    0    8     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    1   14
Fw Kaj Jensen              7    2    9     Fw Damien Sanchez         14    2   16
Fw Lukasz Dudka            6    2    8     Fw Slava Levchenko         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 49 18 17        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 32 33 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  8  1  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 57 19 17         T O T A L S       15 14 32 33 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.31 (no red card)

Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.71 (no red card)

Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.18 (no red card)

Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.21 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.98 (no red card)

Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.19 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.12 (no red card)

Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.62 (no second yellow)

Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.32 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.56 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.2 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.12 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.36 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.22 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.71 (no red card)

Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.9 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.6 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Patrice Djemba new match skill level =  4
      Patrice Djemba new match total level =  6

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.46 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.37 (no injury) 
Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no injury) 
Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.78 (no injury) 
Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.77 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.88 (no injury) 
Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.8 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.22 (no injury) 
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.15 (no injury) 
Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.58 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.6 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.38 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.2 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.15 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury) 
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.96 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.45 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.05 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ceri Kelly SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 13

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 7

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       11   0  57  19  17
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  14  32  30  39

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 32)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((57 - 39) / 5); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Zacharie Ousmanou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ceri Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Hans LecLercq
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ceri Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  14  32  30  39
  Hereford United FC       11   0  57  19  17

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 57)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((30 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 5 ((32 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 2.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 63.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 54.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 79.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
Our winnable game in a tough session but Alex will not make it easy
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 9:41 AM
And Alex didn’t make it easy. Well played.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/09 - 8:11 AM
 
 
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