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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        10    0   10     Gk Bo Norlén              11    0   11
Sw Ibou Sene              15    0   15     Df Martin Toivonen        14    0   14
Df Edilberto Moreno       16    0   16     Df Secundino López        11    0   11
Df Jeff Stewart           12    0   12     Df Nelson Kelly            5    2    7
Df Amalio Zanetti         10    0   10     Df Hajime Tanaka           3    2    5
Mf Jonatan López          14    0   14     Mf Etienne Willems        13    0   13
Mf Robin de Jong           7    2    9     Mf Cameron Gates          11    0   11
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    13    0   13     Mf Fernando Militao        6   -1    5
Fw Alfonso Mesén          13    0   13     Mf Gustavo Moreno          3    2    5
Fw Gabriel Bacca          13    1   14     Fw Bartosz Frankowski     11    0   11
Fw Julio Morales           7    2    9     Fw Valeriy Yastenko        7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 15 38 23 49        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 37 34 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 15 38 23 58         T O T A L S       11  0 37 34 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.08 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.94 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.06 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.34 (no red card)

Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.98 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.79 (no red card)

Mf Robin de Jong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.0 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no second yellow)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.09 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.68 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.9 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.3 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.26 (no red card)

Df Nelson Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.17 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.93 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.38 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.7 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.79 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.47 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.24 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.37 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.02 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.52 (no injury) 
Df Amalio Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.42 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.13 (no injury) 
Mf Robin de Jong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.58 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.05 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.12 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.75 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.76 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.53 (no injury) 
Df Nelson Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.1 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.74 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.57 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.55 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.52 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.97 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edilberto Moreno SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 11

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Toivonen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 10

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          10  15  38  23  58
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  37  34  20

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 21 (58 - 37); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 6 ((38 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Amalio Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 21.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Amalio Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 89.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 4.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 4.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 71.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 25.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 17.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  37  34  20
  Chesterfield FC          10  15  38  23  58

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 38)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((34 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 3.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 4  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 1
 
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