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Wednesday, July 9th, 2025 - 07:00:57 AM (gmt)
 
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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Muhammed Asamoah       13    0   13     Gk Brynmor Harding        13    0   13
Sw Artur Boniek            8    0    8     Sw André Rodríguez         7    2    9
Fw Mikkel Iversen          9    1   10     Df Kaies Mhedhebi         16    0   16
Df Federico Sorin          6    0    6     Df Abel Malacia           14    0   14
Df Kwadwo Danlad           6    2    8     Df Fank Dahl              12    0   12
Mf Muziano Doni            6    2    8     Df Antonio Moreno          7    2    9
Mf Ezequiel Araujo         6    2    8     Mf Ahmed Usman            11    1   12
Fw Erik Christiansen      12    0   12     Mf Joshua Brandt           7    0    7
Fw Yahia El mostafa       14    0   14     Fw Herman Fazio           13    0   13
Fw Stefan Ake              6    2    8     Fw Aaron Castro           13    0   13
Fw Roque Ramos             6    2    8     Fw Theo Étienne            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  8 14 16 52        ROSTER TOTALS      13  9 51 19 35    
       0  0  0  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  1  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  8 19 19 55         T O T A L S       13  9 51 19 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.07 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.67 (no red card)

Fw Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.44 (no red card)

Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.56 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.29 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.24 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.1 (no red card)

Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.86 (no red card)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.63 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.18 (no red card)

Sw André Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.86 (no red card)

Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.95 (no red card)

Df Abel Malacia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.69 (no red card)

Df Fank Dahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.6 (no red card)

Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.01 (no red card)

Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.28 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ahmed Usman new match skill level =  6
      Ahmed Usman new match total level =  7

Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.33 (no red card)

Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.92 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.94 (no second yellow)

Fw Theo Étienne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 89.14 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 97.67 (no injury) 
Fw Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.41 (no injury) 
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.24 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.86 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.26 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.85 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.49 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.42 (no injury) 
Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.0 (no injury) 
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.73 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 18.99 (no injury) 
Sw André Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.69 (no injury) 
Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.41 (no injury) 
Df Abel Malacia: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Abel Malacia is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Abel Malacia new match skill level =  7
      Abel Malacia new match total level =  7
Df Fank Dahl: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.31 (no injury) 
Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.6 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.48 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury) 
Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Castro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.63 (no injury) 
Fw Theo Étienne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Brynmor Harding SL 13

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kaies Mhedhebi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13   8  19  19  55
  Wycombe Wanderers        13   9  44  14  35

Derby County Fw Attacks = 11 (55 - 44); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 3 ((19 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Stefan Ake
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 21.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Stefan Ake
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        13   9  44  14  35
  Derby County             13   8  19  19  55

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 16 (35 - 19); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 49.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Theo Étienne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Herman Fazio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 1  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 3
 
Match Notes
WYC does not look favored here, but Aires has the squad on the rise, beware.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/14 - 1:15 PM
 
 
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