(H)

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman

Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION LEEDS UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Ethan Maddison 12 0 12 Gk Gianni Tabarez 14 0 14
Sw DongHyun Young-min 13 2 15 Sw Fidel Ayala 7 2 9
Df Jason McDiarmid 13 2 15 Df Pedro Canobbio 12 0 12
Df Federico Zanetti 13 1 14 Df Julien Sonko 11 1 12
Df Ali Chukwu 6 2 8 Df Tunahan Horta 6 2 8
Mf Minki Sung-yeung 10 1 11 Mf David Zurawski 10 0 10
Mf Boris Perisic 6 2 8 Mf George Essein 10 0 10
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 19 1 20 Fw Iain Pratt 16 0 16
Fw Elias Mayer 13 2 15 Fw Cesare Nesta 15 0 15
Fw Albert Blanco 11 2 13 Fw Kevin De Smet 14 1 15
Fw Michaël Fellaini 8 2 10 Fw Giliard Ramos 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 15 37 19 58 ROSTER TOTALS 14 9 32 20 54
0 0 1 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 6
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 15 38 22 65 T O T A L S 14 9 32 20 60
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.56 (no red card)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.62 (no red card)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.24 (no red card)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.94 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.78 (no second yellow)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.89 (no red card)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.33 (no red card)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.65 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.1 (no red card)
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.73 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)
******* LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.4 (no red card)
Sw Fidel Ayala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.85 (no red card)
Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.78 (no red card)
Df Julien Sonko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.34 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.17 (no second yellow)
Df Tunahan Horta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.35 (no red card)
Mf David Zurawski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no red card)
Mf George Essein: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.27 (no red card)
Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.32 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.16 (no second yellow)
Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.94 (no red card)
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.88 (no red card)
Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 22.39 (no injury)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.73 (no injury)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 26.35 (no injury)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.74 (no injury)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.59 (no injury)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.53 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.39 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.06 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.37 (no injury)
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.35 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.39 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Michaël Fellaini is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Michaël Fellaini new match skill level = 4
Michaël Fellaini new match total level = 6
******* LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.68 (no injury)
Sw Fidel Ayala: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.18 (no injury)
Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.98 (no injury)
Df Julien Sonko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.84 (no injury)
Df Tunahan Horta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.66 (no injury)
Mf David Zurawski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.64 (no injury)
Mf George Essein: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.74 (no injury)
Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.25 (no injury)
Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.93 (no injury)
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.97 (no injury)
Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.18 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 19
- Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 14
intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Iain Pratt SL 16
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
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============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 12 15 38 22 61
Leeds United 14 9 32 20 60
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 29 (61 - 32); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 30.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 95.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Leeds United 14 9 32 20 60
Brighton & Hove Albion 12 15 38 22 61
Leeds United Fw Attacks = 22 (60 - 38); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Fw Giliard Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 77.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 45.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 84.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 84.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Giliard Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Giliard Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 5.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1 - LEEDS UNITED 3
Match Notes
Not sure how we'll stop the likely 70+ FW line from Leeds. Put all the HA into DF?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/24 - 4:10 PM
Leeds away. Beerman wants promotion but his lot can't find rhythm on a good day. Seagulls better find some steel, not just water.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/25 - 6:30 PM
We are hoping for a good game with no hardness points, please. We can't afford anymore injuries!! May the best win!!
Abe (Leeds United) 05/26 - 3:43 PM
More injuries? Now that's a good idea. Thanks, Abe!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/28 - 12:16 PM