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Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEICESTER CITY FC                          DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Waylon Gómez            7    2    9     Gk Arwyn Collins          11    0   11
Sw Lars Stenbeck          12    2   14     Sw Esteban Martin         11    2   13
Df Jose-Manuel Mendez     13    0   13     Df Jonathan Acosta        13    2   15
Df Michael Frost           7    2    9     Df Vieira Mendes          12    2   14
Mf Erik Sané              13    0   13     Df Andre Ngwa              7    2    9
Mf Ivan Rowles             7    2    9     Df Hugo Quintero           7    0    7
Fw Jefferson Aguilar      15    0   15     Mf Bastiaan de Jong        7    2    9
Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima     12    0   12     Mf Nazariy Gusak           3    2    5
Fw Rami Gharbi            11    0   11     Fw Torben Thygesen        12    2   14
Fw Gökhan Egli             9    0    9     Fw Ayrton Bielsa          13    1   14
Fw Seydou Ba               7    2    9     Fw Teun Van der berg       3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 14 22 22 56        ROSTER TOTALS      11 13 45 14 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
       9 14 22 22 65         T O T A L S       14 14 45 21 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.47 (no red card)

Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card)

Df Jose-Manuel Mendez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.57 (no red card)

Df Michael Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.82 (no red card)

Mf Erik Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.17 (no second yellow)

Fw Jefferson Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.14 (no red card)

Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.02 (no red card)

Fw Rami Gharbi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.82 (no red card)

Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.22 (no red card)

Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.72 (no second yellow)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 44.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 35.38 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.63 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.32 (no second yellow)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 32.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.33 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 76.92 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 26.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 86.11 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 66.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.94 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 34.99 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 43.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 70.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury) 
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 81.9 (no injury) 
Df Jose-Manuel Mendez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 57.32 (no injury) 
Df Michael Frost: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 54.88 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Sané: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 44.51 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 10.5 (no injury) 
Fw Jefferson Aguilar: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 96.49 (no injury) 
Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.89 (no injury) 
Fw Rami Gharbi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 0.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Rami Gharbi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rami Gharbi new match skill level =  6
      Rami Gharbi new match total level =  6
Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 57.95 (no injury) 
Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 5.82 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Arwyn Collins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 79.01 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Esteban Martin is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Esteban Martin new match skill level =  6
      Esteban Martin new match total level =  8
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.78 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.0 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.76 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.12 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.91 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.85 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.62 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jefferson Aguilar SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Arwyn Collins SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonathan Acosta SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Waylon Gómez SL 7

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        9  14  22  22  60
  Dorchester Town          14   9  45  21  33

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 15 (60 - 45); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Ivan Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Rami Gharbi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Rami Gharbi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          14   9  45  21  33
  Leicester City FC        9  14  22  22  60

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 6 (33 - 22) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Ayrton Bielsa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ayrton Bielsa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ayrton Bielsa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEICESTER CITY FC 3  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
I think we may play for a point & just hope.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/05 - 10:12 PM
Not enough fingers & toes crossed obviously.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/14 - 2:10 PM
 
 
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