(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DERBY COUNTY LINCOLN CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Fernando Pellistri 14 2 16 Gk Mousa Boffin 14 1 15
Sw Artur Boniek 14 1 15 Sw Jakob Petersen 13 1 14
Df Rodrigo de Corona 12 0 12 Df Hans Murphy 12 1 13
Df Mikkel Iversen 6 2 8 Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan 6 2 8
Mf Henry Rowles 6 2 8 Df Percy Triggs 6 0 6
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski 6 2 8 Mf Babou Kebe 6 2 8
Fw Reimundo Almada 12 -2 10 Mf Akira Nagatomo 3 2 5
Fw Jay Mitchell 12 0 12 Fw Sérgio da Rocha 13 0 13
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal 12 0 12 Fw Vieira Mario 11 1 12
Fw Ramzi Sellimi 6 2 8 Fw Benedicto Ortega 3 2 5
Fw Erik Christiansen 6 2 8 Fw Martin Jashari 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 15 20 16 50 ROSTER TOTALS 15 14 27 13 35
0 0 0 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
16 15 20 19 57 T O T A L S 15 14 34 13 35
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.89 (no red card)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.83 (no red card)
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.09 (no red card)
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.18 (no red card)
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.51 (no red card)
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.26 (no red card)
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.58 (no red card)
Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.38 (no red card)
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.04 (no red card)
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.14 (no red card)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.45 (no red card)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.09 (no red card)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.55 (no red card)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.84 (no red card)
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.16 (no red card)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.3 (no red card)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.98 (no red card)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.88 (no red card)
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.52 (no red card)
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.54 (no red card)
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.93 (no red card)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.17 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 1
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 13.34 (no injury)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.34 (no injury)
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.81 (no injury)
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no injury)
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury)
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.2 (no injury)
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.25 (no injury)
Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.15 (no injury)
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.49 (no injury)
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.27 (no injury)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.27 (no injury)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 4.63 (no injury)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.37 (no injury)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury)
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.14 (no injury)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.0 (no injury)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.25 (no injury)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.27 (no injury)
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.13 (no injury)
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.08 (no injury)
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.5 (no injury)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.88 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 12
- Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 14
intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sérgio da Rocha SL 13
- Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 16 15 20 19 57
Lincoln City FC 15 14 34 13 35
Derby County Fw Attacks = 23 (57 - 34); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 3 ((19 - 13) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 35) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 76.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Ramzi Sellimi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lincoln City FC 15 14 34 13 35
Derby County 16 15 20 19 57
Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 8 (35 - 20) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((13 - 19) / 2; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 34.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 8.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
DERBY COUNTY 3 - LINCOLN CITY FC 0
Match Notes
Tough road match here as we chase top of the table. Best of luck, Martyn!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/08 - 11:37 AM