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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    1   13     Gk Per Holmdahl           11    1   12
Sw Mitsuo Soma             9    1   10     Sw Tommy McGree           12    1   13
Df Herman Lambert         13    1   14     Df Michaël Van der Heyden 13    0   13
Df Faryd Cuadrado         12    1   13     Df Cedric Jeandel         13    0   13
Df Zinedine Castex         9    1   10     Df Edwin O'Doherty        10    1   11
Mf Vibeke Skov            12    1   13     Mf Patrice Djemba         13    0   13
Mf Manuel Alves           13    1   14     Mf Smahi Youssef          13    0   13
Mf Mats Larsson            8    1    9     Mf Óscar Cota              6    2    8
Fw Jakub Fabianski        12    1   13     Fw Slava Levchenko        13    0   13
Fw Wladimir Groen         12    1   13     Fw Joel Zamora            15    0   15
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        10    1   11     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 37 36 37        ROSTER TOTALS      12 13 37 34 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 37 36 46         T O T A L S       12 13 37 34 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.03 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.79 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.06 (no red card)

Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.54 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.0 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.7 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.47 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.67 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.31 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.9 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.55 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.76 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.05 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.77 (no red card)

Df Cedric Jeandel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.09 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.06 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.82 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.74 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.72 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.0 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.66 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.98 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.4 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.05 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.01 (no injury) 
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.78 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.12 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.36 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.15 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.37 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.78 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.09 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.82 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.44 (no injury) 
Df Cedric Jeandel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.16 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.75 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.22 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.98 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.7 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.14 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Herman Lambert SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 11

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joel Zamora SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      13  10  37  36  46
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  13  37  34  39

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 9 (46 - 37); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((36 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 6.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  13  37  34  39
  Oldham Athletic AFC      13  10  37  36  46

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 2 (39 - 37); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
We are only in Session 2 and this feels like a season of struggle
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/26 - 8:12 AM
Escaped with a point
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 7:28 AM
 
 
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