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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             16    2   18     Gk Hyun Tae-yong          16    1   17
Sw Théo Billard           15    2   17     Sw Luca Cole              12    0   12
Df Michael Addo           12    2   14     Df Zak Smalls             12    1   13
Df Eric Aidoo             10    2   12     Df Boško Shpak            11    2   13
Df Óscar Cespedes         10    2   12     Df Carsten Kragelund       7    2    9
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          12    2   14     Mf Albert Ohrel           13   -1   12
Mf Raouf Salem            10    2   12     Mf Danny Cole             10    2   12
Mf William Gomez          10    2   12     Fw Andres Gutierrez       13    2   15
Fw Elliot Wilkins         18    2   20     Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   12    2   14
Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14     Fw Peter Goossens          6    2    8
Fw Khalilou Konaté        12    1   13     Fw Adam Vasilev            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 38 38 47        ROSTER TOTALS      17 12 35 24 42    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 38 38 56         T O T A L S       18 12 35 24 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.68 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.66 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.51 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.77 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.34 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.22 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.01 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.97 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.97 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.83 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.77 (no second yellow)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 47.26 (no red card)

Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.34 (no red card)

Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.36 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.0 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.65 (no red card)

Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.76 (no red card)

Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.96 (no second yellow)

Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.48 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.14 (no second yellow)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.53 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.57 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 35.33 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.95 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.4 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.35 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.77 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.92 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.1 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.7 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.06 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.41 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 57.19 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.81 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.27 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.29 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.49 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.53 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.79 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Albert Ohrel SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  18  38  38  56
  Port Vale FC             18  12  35  24  42

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 21 (56 - 35); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             18  12  35  24  42
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  18  38  38  56

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 4 (42 - 38); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 4  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Oh boy. Here we go.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/03 - 1:31 PM
Brian, Brian, Brian, Brian, Brian, Brian, Brian.

Think I'll play the reserves. Or the T11.
John (Port Vale FC) 06/03 - 4:00 PM
Perhaps a hybrid approach? I little T11, a little reserves and a little youth. Sounds like a solid gameplan to me.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/03 - 7:11 PM
Beer me!
John (Port Vale FC) 06/07 - 6:30 PM
Oh John, the game is on my friend!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/08 - 12:20 AM
#LotsO'MindGames
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/08 - 12:30 AM
 
 
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