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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        15    2   17     Gk Kurt Östman            13    2   15
Df Jeff Stewart           14    0   14     Sw Édouard Gning          14    1   15
Df Edilberto Moreno       10    0   10     Df Thiago Boniek           5    2    7
Df Robert Harrison        10    0   10     Df Martin Persson          7    2    9
Mf Jonatan López          15    0   15     Df Mbaye Dieng             3    2    5
Mf Erik Weber             11    0   11     Mf Noah Martinez           7    2    9
Mf Brecht De vos           9    0    9     Mf Abel Peeters            3    2    5
Fw Alfonso Mesén          15    0   15     Mf Bruno Freda             3    2    5
Fw Gabriel Bacca          17    0   17     Fw Kian Clarke            13    1   14
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    10    0   10     Fw Josh Watson            13    1   14
Fw Alberto Mina            7    2    9     Fw Atef Omar               7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 34 35 51        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 21 19 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 34 44 51         T O T A L S       15 18 25 19 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.53 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.69 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.7 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.97 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.19 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.15 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.97 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.24 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.57 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.76 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.32 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.25 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.52 (no red card)

Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.04 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.04 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.08 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.18 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.36 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.18 (no red card)

Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.18 (no red card)

Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.95 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.7 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.52 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.48 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.27 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Robert Harrison is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Robert Harrison new match skill level =  5
      Robert Harrison new match total level =  5
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.52 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.0 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.06 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.6 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.47 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.05 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.04 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.97 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.58 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.09 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.55 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.56 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.89 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.94 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.26 (no injury) 
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.53 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 13

     intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kian Clarke SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17   0  29  44  51
  Nottingham Forest        15  18  25  19  37

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 26 (51 - 25); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((44 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 37) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 39

1: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Brecht De vos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Brecht De vos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Brecht De vos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        15  18  25  19  37
  Chesterfield FC          17   0  29  44  51

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 2 (37 - 29) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 4  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
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