(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Per Holmdahl 7 2 9
Sw Thiago Boniek 13 2 15 Df Michaël Van der Heyden 12 2 14
Df Gualberto Burgos 13 0 13 Df Jilani Amara 11 2 13
Df Mbaye Dieng 6 2 8 Df Emir Sellimi 6 2 8
Df Nicomedes Martino 3 2 5 Df Festus Abubakar 3 2 5
Mf Johnny Rieder 9 2 11 Mf Stefan Boniek 13 2 15
Mf Abel Peeters 7 2 9 Mf Ian Tejeda 10 1 11
Fw Óscar Vargas 16 2 18 Mf Óscar Cota 3 2 5
Fw Atef Omar 11 2 13 Fw Erik Strömstedt 12 2 14
Fw Fredrik Engberg 9 1 10 Fw Yusuf Kalu 9 1 10
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 7 2 9 Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 15 26 20 50 ROSTER TOTALS 9 0 40 31 33
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 26 20 59 T O T A L S 9 0 40 31 33
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.61 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.8 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.02 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.01 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.07 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.65 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.77 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.12 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.13 (no red card)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.48 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.55 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.63 (no red card)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.46 (no red card)
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.21 (no red card)
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.84 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.87 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.49 (no red card)
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.17 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.75 (no red card)
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.03 (no red card)
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.89 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.12 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.46 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.4 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.2 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.68 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.04 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.17 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.88 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.51 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.61 (no injury)
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no injury)
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.19 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.03 (no injury)
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.19 (no injury)
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.83 (no injury)
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.53 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 7
intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Stefan Boniek SL 13
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 15 26 20 59
Crewe Alexandra FC 9 0 40 31 33
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 19 (59 - 40); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 31) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 33) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 19.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 95.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 54.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 45.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 31.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 40.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 9 0 40 31 33
Nottingham Forest 18 15 26 20 59
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 7 (33 - 26); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 59) / 5; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
Match Notes
……. since season 3
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/19 - 6:47 AM
Our struggles v Forest continue
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/26 - 7:05 AM