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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          16    2   18     Gk Mads Frost             15    2   17
Sw Oisin Lundin           13    2   15     Df Keita Hattori          13    2   15
Df Javi Flores            13    2   15     Df Shoichi Morita         12    2   14
Df Salvador Alvarado       7    2    9     Df Oskar Qvist             9    1   10
Df Dominik Aebischer       3    2    5     Df José Mendes             7    1    8
Mf Damian Nabbout         13    1   14     Df Blaise Amiel            3    2    5
Mf Artjoms Tokar          11    2   13     Mf Aidan Maddison         12    0   12
Mf Gregorio Caballero     11    2   13     Mf Oliwer Säfström         9    2   11
Mf Roberto Bonano         14    2   16     Mf Octavio Barbosa         7    2    9
Fw Boško Pletikosa         7    2    9     Mf Jorim Geiger            3    2    5
Fw Jonathan Haruna         7    2    9     Fw Vitalik Semenyuk       11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 29 56 18        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 52 37 13    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  3  4  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 29 56 27         T O T A L S       17  0 55 41 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 45.71 (no red card)

Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.48 (no red card)

Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.11 (no red card)

Df Dominik Aebischer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.6 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.83 (no red card)

Mf Artjoms Tokar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.25 (no red card)

Mf Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.41 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.37 (no red card)

Fw Boško Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.92 (no red card)

Fw Jonathan Haruna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.57 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.04 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.48 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.46 (no red card)

Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.42 (no red card)

Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.15 (no red card)

Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.16 (no red card)

Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.47 (no red card)

Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.55 (no red card)

Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.23 (no red card)

Mf Jorim Geiger: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.13 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jorim Geiger new match skill level =  2
      Jorim Geiger new match total level =  4

Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 53.07 (no injury) 
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.54 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.96 (no injury) 
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.1 (no injury) 
Df Dominik Aebischer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.7 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Damian Nabbout is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Artjoms Tokar: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.06 (no injury) 
Mf Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.65 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.55 (no injury) 
Fw Boško Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.1 (no injury) 
Fw Jonathan Haruna: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.87 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 81.88 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.49 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.32 (no injury) 
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no injury) 
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.66 (no injury) 
Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.83 (no injury) 
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury) 
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.32 (no injury) 
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.04 (no injury) 
Mf Jorim Geiger: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no injury) 
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roberto Bonano SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Keita Hattori SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  15  29  56  27
  Watford                  17   0  55  40  14

Watford is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 55)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 16 ((56 - 40) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 5 ((29 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Salvador Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Salvador Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Salvador Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Javi Flores
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Javi Flores
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Artjoms Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 46.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Artjoms Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17   0  55  40  14
  Lewes FC                 19  15  29  56  27

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 29)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((55 - 27) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 79.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
JT throwing bodies forward while Double D plots from the shadows. This one's got chaos written all over it.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/23 - 6:31 PM  
There are no comfortable matches in the top division! Ray has obviously been smoking again.
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/27 - 6:05 PM  
Especially if Ray thinks Dave can get 2 goals from 32 attacks. The game doesn't even allow Dave to get his first goal in a match until he reaches 50 attacks!
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/27 - 10:14 PM  
Great point Al
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/28 - 12:25 AM  
Outlaw Dave gets the result. JT brought the numbers upfront and still came away with nowt. Sometimes the old croc bites.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/30 - 6:30 PM  
The lone goal coming in the 90th minute as we managed 10 shots off target…….bad performance
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/30 - 6:46 PM  
 
 
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